Empoli vs Lecce - 11/01/25

Empoli vs Lecce

Italy

Serie A

11/01/25 - 14:00
Full Time 96 ' (+4)
1 - 3 (0 - 2)

Pre-match Odds

bet365
1
X

Empoli vs Lecce Prediction & Preview

Introduction to the Match

The upcoming Italy Serie A match between Empoli and Lecce is set to take place at the Stadio Carlo Castellani. Empoli, currently in 12th place with 20 points, will host Lecce, who are in 18th place with 17 points. The head-to-head matches between the two teams have been closely contested, with Empoli having 1 win, Lecce having 1 win, and 3 draws in their last 5 encounters.

Team Form and Statistics

Empoli's recent form has been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 5 losses, and 3 draws in their last 10 matches. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per game and conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game. At home, Empoli's goal-scoring average drops to 0.75 goals per game, while they concede an average of 1 goal per game. Lecce, on the other hand, has had a slightly better form, with 3 wins, 4 losses, and 3 draws in their last 10 matches. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per game and conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game. Away from home, Lecce's scoring average is 0.5 goals per game, and they concede an average of 1.75 goals per game.

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

Considering the goal averages and recent form of both teams, the match is likely to be a low-scoring affair. Only 25% of Empoli's home matches and 25% of Lecce's away matches have ended with Over 2.5 goals in the last 10 games. The head-to-head matches between the two teams have also been closely contested, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw. The odds supplied indicate that the bookies expect the match to be more likely to end with Under 2.5 goals, given the odds of 1.57 for Under 2.5 compared to 2.37 for Over 2.5.

Home/Draw/Away (1X2) Analysis

The odds for the match have Empoli as the favorites, with a home win priced at 2. The away win for Lecce is priced at 4.33, while the draw is priced at 3.1. Considering the recent form and statistics, a home win for Empoli seems like the most likely outcome. However, the value of the bet is also an important consideration. Given the odds and the risk involved, the best value bet may not be the most likely outcome.

Bet Analysis

Given the analysis, the preferred bet would be Under 2.5 goals at 1.57. This bet aligns with the statistical likelihood based on the teams' recent performances and the odds provided. While the potential payout for Over 2.5 goals is higher, the risk, as indicated by the odds and the teams' statistics, suggests that Under 2.5 goals is the more prudent choice. Additionally, considering the home team's advantage and recent form, a home win for Empoli at 2 could also be a viable option.

Main Bet: Under 2.5 @ 1.57 Alternative Bet: Home @ 2

Note: Form & statistics are taken from their last 10 played games.

All our previews are generated using advanced AI models. These take into account recent form, H2H records, goals scored, conceded and much more. We manually review all previews before they are put on the site, but mistakes are always possible. Additonally, they do not currently take into account squads, team news or injuries.

This preview should be used to help you evaluate the Empoli vs Lecce match, recent team form, goals, statistics and league performance. You should then come to your own decision about what YOU think is a good bet. Always check the facts and never bet money you cannot afford to lose.

Empoli vs Lecce Statistics

50
Ball Possession %
50
6
Goal Kicks
13
13
Interceptions
13
9
Corners
2
25
Total Crosses
4
21
Free Kicks
11
67
Successful Passes Percentage
70
71
Duels Won
60
145
Attacks
89
60
Dangerous Attacks
30
11
Fouls
21
34
Throwins
24
26
Tackles
25
251
Successful Passes
283
375
Passes
405
73
Long Passes
74
2
Offsides
3
1
Goals
3
22
Dribble Attempts
18
12
Shots Insidebox
9
5
Shots On Target
6
15
Shots Total
14
10
Goal Attempts
11
4
Big Chances Missed
2
94
Ball Safe
125
4
Shots Blocked
3
5
Big Chances Created
3
3
Shots Outsidebox
5
10
Key Passes
11
3
Saves
4
5
Accurate Crosses
1
9
Successful Dribbles
3
4
Substitutions
4
0
Yellowcards
3
6
Shots Off Target
5
1
Injuries
1
1
Assists
3
20
Successful Headers
19

Match Events

Goal! Tete Morente 0-1 6'
Goal! N. Krstović 0-2 11'
21' Mattia De Sciglio (A. Ismajli)
Yellow Card Tete Morente Yellow Card 37'
47' Goal! Liberato Cacace 1-2
Mohamed Kaba (Þórir Jóhann Helgason) 52'
Yellow Card Balthazar Pierret Yellow Card 58'
Kevin Bonifazi (Santiago Pierotti) 68'
75' Jacopo Fazzini (Youssef Maleh)
80' Junior Sambia (Giuseppe Pezzella)
80' Liam Henderson (Alberto Grassi)
Jesper Karlsson (Tete Morente) 82'
Y. Ramadani (Balthazar Pierret) 82'
Yellow Card N. Krstović Yellow Card 83'
Goal! N. Krstović 1-3 90'

Empoli vs Lecce - 11/01/25.

All Empoli vs Lecce match events as they happen, including cards, subs, fouls, penalties, VAR and of course goals!

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