Empoli vs Lecce Prediction & Preview
Introduction to the Match
The upcoming Italy Serie A match between Empoli and Lecce is set to take place at the Stadio Carlo Castellani. Empoli, currently in 12th place with 20 points, will host Lecce, who are in 18th place with 17 points. The head-to-head matches between the two teams have been closely contested, with Empoli having 1 win, Lecce having 1 win, and 3 draws in their last 5 encounters.
Team Form and Statistics
Empoli's recent form has been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 5 losses, and 3 draws in their last 10 matches. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per game and conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game. At home, Empoli's goal-scoring average drops to 0.75 goals per game, while they concede an average of 1 goal per game. Lecce, on the other hand, has had a slightly better form, with 3 wins, 4 losses, and 3 draws in their last 10 matches. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per game and conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game. Away from home, Lecce's scoring average is 0.5 goals per game, and they concede an average of 1.75 goals per game.
Over/Under 2.5 Analysis
Considering the goal averages and recent form of both teams, the match is likely to be a low-scoring affair. Only 25% of Empoli's home matches and 25% of Lecce's away matches have ended with Over 2.5 goals in the last 10 games. The head-to-head matches between the two teams have also been closely contested, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw. The odds supplied indicate that the bookies expect the match to be more likely to end with Under 2.5 goals, given the odds of 1.57 for Under 2.5 compared to 2.37 for Over 2.5.
Home/Draw/Away (1X2) Analysis
The odds for the match have Empoli as the favorites, with a home win priced at 2. The away win for Lecce is priced at 4.33, while the draw is priced at 3.1. Considering the recent form and statistics, a home win for Empoli seems like the most likely outcome. However, the value of the bet is also an important consideration. Given the odds and the risk involved, the best value bet may not be the most likely outcome.
Bet Analysis
Given the analysis, the preferred bet would be Under 2.5 goals at 1.57. This bet aligns with the statistical likelihood based on the teams' recent performances and the odds provided. While the potential payout for Over 2.5 goals is higher, the risk, as indicated by the odds and the teams' statistics, suggests that Under 2.5 goals is the more prudent choice. Additionally, considering the home team's advantage and recent form, a home win for Empoli at 2 could also be a viable option.
Main Bet: Under 2.5 @ 1.57 Alternative Bet: Home @ 2
Note: Form & statistics are taken from their last 10 played games.
All our previews are generated using advanced AI models. These take into account recent form, H2H records, goals scored, conceded and much more. We manually review all previews before they are put on the site, but mistakes are always possible. Additonally, they do not currently take into account squads, team news or injuries.
This preview should be used to help you evaluate the Empoli vs Lecce match, recent team form, goals, statistics and league performance. You should then come to your own decision about what YOU think is a good bet. Always check the facts and never bet money you cannot afford to lose.