Lucchese vs Ascoli Prediction & Preview
Introduction to the Match
The upcoming Italy Serie C: Girone B match between Lucchese and Ascoli on Friday, January 24th, 2025, at Stadio Porta Elisa, promises to be an intriguing encounter. With both teams having distinct recent form and statistical trends, it's essential to analyze these factors to determine the likelihood of each outcome.
Team Form and Statistics
Lucchese, currently positioned 17th in the league standings, has struggled in their last 10 matches, securing only 1 win, accompanied by 5 losses and 4 draws. In contrast, Ascoli, positioned 11th, has shown more promise, securing 4 wins, 1 loss, and 5 draws in their last 10 outings. Lucchese's defense has been more vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per game, compared to Ascoli's 0.9 goals conceded per game.
Head-to-Head and Goal Averages
The head-to-head match between the two teams earlier in the season ended in a 2-1 win for Lucchese. Notably, 60% of Lucchese's matches end with Over 2.5 goals, while only 30% of Ascoli's matches end with Over 2.5 goals. When playing at home, Lucchese scores an average of 1.6 goals per game, while Ascoli scores an average of 1.25 goals per game away from home.
Odds and Bet Analysis
Considering the odds, Ascoli is favored to win, with odds of 2.3, while a home win for Lucchese is priced at 2.8. A draw is available at odds of 3.1. For the Over/Under 2.5 market, the odds of Over 2.5 goals are 2.15, while the odds of Under 2.5 goals are 1.66. Given Lucchese's tendency to concede an average of 1.8 goals per game at home and Ascoli's ability to score an average of 1.25 goals per game away, there is a possibility of the match ending with Over 2.5 goals.
Bet Choice
Given the statistical trends and recent form of both teams, the value of the bet seems to lie with the Over 2.5 goals. Although the likelihood of the match ending with Over 2.5 goals is not extremely high, the odds of 2.15 provide a decent payout if the bet is successful. Additionally, considering the teams' recent performances, a draw seems like a plausible outcome, offering a higher payout compared to the other options.
Main Bet: Over 2.5 @ 2.15 Alternative Bet: Draw @ 3.1
Note: Form & statistics are taken from their last 10 played games.
All our previews are generated using advanced AI models. These take into account recent form, H2H records, goals scored, conceded and much more. We manually review all previews before they are put on the site, but mistakes are always possible. Additonally, they do not currently take into account squads, team news or injuries.
This preview should be used to help you evaluate the Lucchese vs Ascoli match, recent team form, goals, statistics and league performance. You should then come to your own decision about what YOU think is a good bet. Always check the facts and never bet money you cannot afford to lose.
