Tijuana vs Toluca - 11/01/25

Tijuana vs Toluca

Mexico

Liga MX

11/01/25 - 03:00
Full Time 100 ' (+7)
2 - 4 (1 - 1)

Pre-match Odds

bet365
X

Tijuana vs Toluca Prediction & Preview

Introduction to the Match

The upcoming match between Tijuana and Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is expected to be an exciting encounter, with both teams having shown strong goal-scoring form in their recent matches. Tijuana, currently sitting 7th in the league, will host 2nd-placed Toluca at Estadio Cuauhtémoc.

Head-to-Head Analysis and Recent Form

Historically, Toluca has a slight edge over Tijuana, with 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 encounters. However, Tijuana's recent form, with 4 wins, 2 losses, and 4 draws in their last 10 matches, suggests they are capable of posing a challenge to Toluca. Toluca, with 5 wins, 3 losses, and 2 draws in the same period, demonstrates their consistency but also shows they can be beaten.

Goal Scoring and Conceding Averages

Tijuana scores an average of 1.5 goals per game, increasing to 2 goals per game when playing at home, while conceding an average of 1.33 goals per game at home. Toluca, on the other hand, averages 2 goals per game, with their away average being 1.6 goals per game, and they concede an average of 1.2 goals per game away from home. These statistics indicate that both teams are capable of scoring, especially Tijuana at home.

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

Given that 80% of Tijuana's matches and 60% of Toluca's matches have ended with Over 2.5 goals, and considering the average total goals scored in each team's matches (2.8 for Tijuana and 3.1 for Toluca), the likelihood of an Over 2.5 result is high. The odds reflect this, with Over 2.5 goals priced at 1.57 and Under 2.5 goals at 2.35, indicating the bookies' belief in a high-scoring match.

1X2 Market Analysis

In the 1X2 market, Toluca is slightly favored with odds of 2.55, followed by Tijuana at 2.8, and the draw at 3.2. Considering Tijuana's home advantage and recent form, their odds could offer value, especially given their ability to score goals at home.

Bet Analysis

Given the statistics and analysis, the Over 2.5 bet seems appealing due to the high percentage of matches ending with Over 2.5 goals for both teams, especially considering Tijuana's home record. However, Tijuana's odds in the 1X2 market also present a viable option, considering their home advantage and recent form.

Main Bet: Over 2.5 @ 1.57 Alternative Bet: Home @ 2.8

Note: Form & statistics are taken from their last 10 played games.

All our previews are generated using advanced AI models. These take into account recent form, H2H records, goals scored, conceded and much more. We manually review all previews before they are put on the site, but mistakes are always possible. Additonally, they do not currently take into account squads, team news or injuries.

This preview should be used to help you evaluate the Tijuana vs Toluca match, recent team form, goals, statistics and league performance. You should then come to your own decision about what YOU think is a good bet. Always check the facts and never bet money you cannot afford to lose.

Tijuana vs Toluca Statistics

9
Shots Off Target
8
21
Shots Total
21
7
Shots On Target
9
88
Successful Passes Percentage
67
57
Long Passes
45
49
Duels Won
70
9
Goal Kicks
10
13
Total Crosses
11
11
Shots Insidebox
15
49
Dangerous Attacks
37
1
Yellowcards
3
20
Throwins
15
13
Key Passes
19
12
Successful Dribbles
10
72
Ball Possession %
28
141
Attacks
64
644
Passes
245
10
Shots Outsidebox
6
25
Dribble Attempts
12
568
Successful Passes
164
18
Tackles
44
7
Interceptions
14
8
Fouls
12
54
Ball Safe
36
12
Free Kicks
8
2
Corners
5
5
Saves
5
4
Big Chances Created
4
5
Shots Blocked
4
1
Offsides
4
2
Big Chances Missed
1
2
Goals
4
6
Accurate Crosses
6
4
Substitutions
4
7
Goal Attempts
15
1
Injuries
2
1
Hit Woodwork
0
1
Assists
4

Match Events

3' Yellow Card Yellow Card Christian Rivera
Yellow Card M. Ruíz Yellow Card 18'
Yellow Card V. Arteaga Yellow Card 21'
Goal! A. Vega 0-1 39'
45' Goal! Raúl Zúñiga 1-1
46' Joe Corona (Christian Rivera)
Goal! A. Vega 1-2 57'
61' Gilberto Mora (Kevin Castañeda)
61' Jhojan Julio (Domingo Blanco)
66' Ramiro Franco (Rafael Fernández)
Helinho (R. Morales) 67'
Goal! Helinho 1-3 71'
I. Violante (A. Vega) 73'
80' Goal! Emanuel Reynoso 2-3
E. López (J. Angulo) 79'
F. Amaya (V. Arteaga) 79'
Goal! Paulinho 2-4 85'
Yellow Card D. Barbosa Yellow Card 90'
VAR M. Ruíz 90'

Tijuana vs Toluca - 11/01/25.

All Tijuana vs Toluca match events as they happen, including cards, subs, fouls, penalties, VAR and of course goals!

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