⚽️
Palestino1-2A. Italiano
Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 14:00
Serie A
Italy
Italy
Full Time
3:1
HT: 2 - 1

Match Timeline

7'
Arijanet Murić🟨
Yellow Card
9'
R. Mandragora
Normal Goal → R. Mandragora
14'
C. Volpato
Normal Goal → T. Muharemovic
16'
Kristian Thorstvedt🟨
Yellow Card
45'
T. Muharemovic
Normal Goal → A. Lauriente
46'
S. Sohm🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Ndour
54'
A. Pinamonti🔄
Substitution 1 → W. Cheddira
54'
A. Lauriente🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Fadera
62'
F. Parisi🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Fortini
62'
N. Fagioli🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Piccoli
63'
L. Ranieri🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Viti
65'
I. Kone
Normal Goal → C. Volpato
78'
S. Walukiewicz🔄
Substitution 3 → W. Coulibaly
79'
C. Volpato🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Pierini
84'
Dodo🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Kouame
90+3'
Cher Ndour🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Mattia Viti🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
Rolando Mandragora🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal5
13Total Shots9
4Blocked Shots3
9Shots insidebox5
4Shots outsidebox4
15Fouls15
7Corner Kicks1
1Offsides4
40Ball Possession60
2Yellow Cards3
0Goalkeeper Saves2
325Total passes496
261Passes accurate419
80Passes %84
0.93expected_goals1.19
-2goals_prevented-2

Starting Lineups

SassuoloSassuolo1:1

Starting XI

49A. MuricG
3J. DoigD
90I. KoneM
45A. LaurienteF
80T. MuharemovicD
18N. MaticM
99A. PinamontiF
21J. IdzesD
42K. ThorstvedtM
7C. VolpatoF
6S. WalukiewiczD

FiorentinaFiorentina1:1

Starting XI

43D. de GeaG
6L. RanieriD
65F. ParisiM
10A. GudmundssonF
18P. MariD
7S. SohmM
20M. KeanF
15P. ComuzzoD
44N. FagioliM
8R. MandragoraM
2DodoM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Form: L-D-W-L-W
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Form: L-L-D-D-L
Record
2 W
2 D
6 L
1 W
3 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.6
Conceded
vs
1.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.1
Conceded
Home:1.7
Away:1.6
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1493
Average
1632
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1473
↓ Momentum (-20)
1620
↓ Momentum (-12)
Expected Outcome
22%
Home Win
28%
Draw
50%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1488
Attack
1568
1480
Defence
1560
Recent Form
1478
Attack
1570
1500
Defence
1519
Post-Match Changes
+14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: Battle of Struggling Sides
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+8.0%

This Serie A clash pits two teams in contrasting form against each other, with Sassuolo sitting comfortably in 10th place while Fiorentina languishes in the relegation zone, still searching for their first win of the season. Sassuolo's recent form has been mixed at best. They've managed just 2 wins in their last 10 games, though there have been some bright spots including an impressive 3-0 victory away at Atalanta. However, their home form has been particularly concerning, with no wins in their last three matches at their own stadium. They've been scoring regularly (1.10 goals per game) but also conceding frequently (1.60 per game), which sets up an interesting dynamic. Fiorentina's situation is far more dire. The visitors remain winless after 13 league matches, accumulating just 6 points from 6 draws. Their recent form shows 1 win, 3 draws, and 6 losses in their last 10 games across all competitions. While they did manage a creditable 1-1 draw with Juventus, they also suffered embarrassing defeats like the 0-1 home loss to Lecce. Like Sassuolo, they average exactly 1.00 goal scored and 1.60 conceded per game. The head-to-head record between these sides is fascinating and points strongly toward goals. In 9 previous meetings, both teams have scored in 8 matches (89%), while 7 have gone over 2.5 goals (78%). Sassuolo has dominated at home against Fiorentina with a 75% win rate (3W-0D-1L), though their current home form doesn't reflect this historical advantage. Statistically, both teams are very evenly matched in terms of goal output and defensive vulnerability. The goal expectancy model suggests both teams will score around 1.42 goals each, indicating a high-scoring affair is likely. Both sides have been struggling defensively, with clean sheets coming at a premium - Sassuolo have kept just 2 in their last 10 games, while Fiorentina have managed only 1. Given Fiorentina's desperate need for points and both teams' defensive frailties, this match has all the ingredients for an open, attacking game where both sides find the net.

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