⚽️
Ulverstone1-3Launceston City
Mon, 8 Dec 2025, 19:45
Serie A
Italy
Italy
Full Time
2:3
HT: 2 - 1

Match Timeline

10'
N. Vlasic
Normal Goal → N. Vlasic
17'
D. Zapata
Normal Goal → N. Vlasic
19'
Mike Maignan🟨
Yellow Card
24'
A. Rabiot
Normal Goal → F. Tomori
31'
R. Leao🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Ricci
53'
Valentino Lazaro🟨
Yellow Card
56'
Faustino Anjorin🟨
Yellow Card
59'
F. Anjorin🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Casadei
66'
D. Bartesaghi🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Pulisic
67'
C. Pulisic
Normal Goal → A. Saelemaekers
77'
C. Pulisic
Normal Goal → S. Ricci
78'
A. Tameze🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Masina
84'
C. Adams🔄
Substitution 3 → Z. Aboukhlal
84'
M. Pedersen🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Nkounkou
84'
V. Lazaro🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Ngonge
88'
A. Saelemaekers🔄
Substitution 3 → P. Estupinan

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal5
8Total Shots17
2Blocked Shots6
4Shots insidebox13
4Shots outsidebox4
16Fouls7
2Corner Kicks4
1Offsides3
36Ball Possession64
2Yellow Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
309Total passes551
242Passes accurate495
78Passes %90
0.98expected_goals1.91
-1goals_prevented-1

Starting Lineups

TorinoTorino1:1

Starting XI

81Franco IsraelG
23Saúl CocoD
20Valentino LazaroM
19Che AdamsF
13Guillermo MaripánD
14Faustino AnjorinM
91Duván ZapataF
61Adrien TamezeD
10Nikola VlašićM
32Kristjan AsllaniM
16Marcus PedersenM

AC MilanAC Milan1:1

Starting XI

16Mike MaignanG
31Strahinja PavlovićD
33Davide BartesaghiM
10Rafael LeãoF
46Matteo GabbiaD
12Adrien RabiotM
18Christopher NkunkuF
23Fikayo TomoriD
14Luka ModrićM
8Ruben Loftus-CheekM
56Alexis SaelemaekersM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Torino
Torino
Form: L-L-D-D-D
AC Milan
AC Milan
Form: L-W-W-D-W
Record
3 W
4 D
3 L
5 W
4 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
0.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:0.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1575
Average
1718
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1602
↑ Momentum (+26)
1777
↑ Momentum (+59)
Expected Outcome
22%
Home Win
27%
Draw
51%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1435
Attack
1595
1585
Defence
1651
Recent Form
1463
Attack
1606
1553
Defence
1693
Post-Match Changes
-9
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Torino vs AC Milan: Both Teams To Score Value Pick
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.95
Expected Value:+3.4%

This Serie A clash presents a fascinating contrast between league leaders AC Milan and mid-table Torino, with the betting value potentially lying in the goals market rather than the match outcome. AC Milan arrives at the summit of Serie A with an impressive 28 points from 13 games, showcasing their title credentials with just one defeat all season. Their defensive solidity has been remarkable, conceding only 8 goals in their last 10 matches while keeping 4 clean sheets. However, their away form tells a different story - they've managed just one win in their last five away trips, scoring a mere 0.8 goals per game on the road. Torino sits in 13th place with 14 points, struggling for consistency but showing flashes of quality. Their recent form includes a shocking 1-5 home defeat against Como, but they also demonstrated their capability by beating high-flying Napoli 1-0. At home, Torino averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, indicating games at their ground tend to see action at both ends. The head-to-head record surprisingly favors Torino at home, with a 3-1-0 record against AC Milan in previous meetings at this venue. Both teams have scored in 5 of their 9 total encounters, suggesting a pattern of open games when these sides meet. Statistical analysis points toward a low-scoring affair with goal expectancies of 1.10 for Torino and 1.20 for AC Milan. However, both teams' recent scoring patterns suggest value in the both teams to score market. Torino has seen BTTS in 60% of their recent games, while AC Milan's away matches have resulted in both teams scoring 50% of the time. The odds of 1.95 for BTTS Yes offer excellent value compared to the statistical probability, especially considering Torino's home attacking output (1.4 goals/game) combined with their defensive vulnerabilities (1.6 goals conceded/game), and AC Milan's ability to find the net even in their less impressive away performances.

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