🟨
Sportivo Italiano0-0Excursionistas
Thu, 15 Jan 2026, 17:30
Serie A
Italy
Italy
Full Time

Match Timeline

12'
Unai Núñez🟨
Yellow Card
13'
G. Orban
Normal Goal → A. Sarr
21'
R. Orsolini
Normal Goal → R. Freuler
29'
J. Odgaard
Normal Goal → B. Dominguez
42'
Martin Vitík🟨
Yellow Card
44'
S. Castro
Normal Goal → T. Pobega
46'
U. Nunez🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Slotsager
53'
S. Serdar🔄
Substitution 2 → Giovane
53'
Al Musrati🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Gagliardini
59'
Riccardo Orsolini🟨
Yellow Card
65'
S. Castro🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Immobile
66'
T. Pobega🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Moro
71'
R. Freuler
Own Goal
77'
C. Niasse🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Cham
79'
J. Odgaard🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Ferguson
79'
E. Holm🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Zortea
82'
A. Sarr🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Mosquera
90'
R. Orsolini🔄
Substitution 5 → G. Fabbian

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal7
15Total Shots14
6Blocked Shots2
10Shots insidebox6
5Shots outsidebox8
13Fouls14
4Corner Kicks5
5Offsides2
39Ball Possession61
1Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
340Total passes532
251Passes accurate436
74Passes %82
1.17expected_goals0.74
-1goals_prevented-1

Starting Lineups

Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1:1

Starting XI

1Lorenzo MontipòG
6Nicolás ValentiniD
12Domagoj BradarićM
16Gift OrbanF
15Victor NelssonD
24Antoine BernedeM
9Amin SarrF
5Unai NúñezD
73Mutassim Al-MusratiM
8Suat SerdarM
36Cheikh NiasseM

BolognaBologna1:1

Starting XI

13Federico RavagliaG
33Juan MirandaD
4Tommaso PobegaM
30Benjamín DomínguezM
9Santiago CastroF
14Torbjørn HeggemD
8Remo FreulerM
21Jens OdgaardM
41Martin VitíkD
7Riccardo OrsoliniM
2Emil HolmD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
Form: L-D-L-L-W
Bologna
Bologna
Form: D-L-L-D-L
Record
2 W
2 D
6 L
2 W
4 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.0
Scored
vs
0.9
Scored
1.7
Conceded
vs
1.4
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:1.6
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1462
Average
1658
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1439
↓ Momentum (-23)
1652
↓ Momentum (-6)
Expected Outcome
18%
Home Win
25%
Draw
57%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1448
Attack
1553
1511
Defence
1607
Recent Form
1449
Attack
1536
1492
Defence
1598
Post-Match Changes
-8
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Verona vs Bologna: BTTS Value in Midweek Serie A Clash
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+30.0%
Confidence:65

The Serie A relegation battle meets mid-table mediocrity as 19th-placed Verona host 9th-placed Bologna in what promises to be an intriguing tactical battle. On paper, this looks like a straightforward away win for the visitors, but a deeper dive into the data reveals some fascinating patterns that make the both teams to score market particularly appealing. Verona's season has been nothing short of disastrous with just 13 points from 19 games, but their recent home form tells a more nuanced story. Yes, they've lost three of their last four at home, including disappointing defeats to Torino (0-3) and Lazio (0-1), but sandwiched between those losses was a stunning 3-1 victory over Atalanta and a hard-fought 2-2 draw away to Napoli. This Jekyll and Hyde performance suggests a team capable of scoring against quality opposition while remaining vulnerable at the back. Their 1.80 goals conceded per home game is particularly concerning, and with just one clean sheet in their last ten matches overall, defensive solidity is clearly not their forte. Bologna's position in 9th looks comfortable, but their recent Serie A form should worry their supporters. The visitors are winless in their last six league outings, managing draws against Como (1-1), Sassuolo (1-1), and Lazio (1-1) while falling to defeats against Inter (1-3), Atalanta (0-2), and Juventus (0-1). What's interesting is that despite this poor run, they've continued to find the net against top opposition, scoring against Inter (twice), Lazio, and Como. Their away record shows they score exactly 1.00 goals per game on the road while conceding 1.60, and remarkably, they haven't kept a single clean sheet in their last ten matches across all competitions. The head-to-head record favors Bologna with four wins from the last eight meetings compared to Verona's two, but more tellingly, both teams have scored in half of those encounters. The most recent meeting in March 2025 ended 2-1 to Bologna, continuing the trend of both sides finding the net. Statistically, Bologna dominates possession (51.3% to 39.8%), creates more shots (11.4 to 9.8), and maintains significantly better pass accuracy (81.6% to 73.6%). However, Verona's shot accuracy is surprisingly comparable (31.5% to 34.2%), suggesting that when they do create chances, they're similarly effective at testing the goalkeeper. **Key Points:** - Verona has kept just one clean sheet in their last ten matches (10% rate) - Bologna has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last ten matches (0% rate) - Both teams have scored in 60% of Verona's recent games and 70% of Bologna's - Verona averages 1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded at home - Bologna averages 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded away - Recent form shows both teams scoring against quality opposition From a betting perspective, the away win at 2.05 might tempt some, but Bologna's six-game winless streak in Serie A makes this a risky proposition. The over 2.5 goals market at 2.20 also has appeal given the goal expectancies of 1.30 for Verona and 1.40 for Bologna, but both teams' relatively low scoring rates give me pause. The standout value lies in both teams to score at even money (2.00). With neither side capable of keeping clean sheets and both demonstrating they can score against superior opposition, this represents excellent value against the implied probability of 50%. **Summary:** This midweek Serie A clash features two teams with leaky defenses and enough attacking threat to trouble each other. While Bologna should theoretically control the game, their recent inability to convert possession into wins makes the match result markets unattractive. The statistical profile overwhelmingly supports both teams finding the net, making **Both Teams to Score - Yes** at 2.00 the clear value bet in this fixture.

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