Two mid-table sides separated by just goal difference meet on Tyneside, and the data suggests we could be in for an entertaining affair. Newcastle sit 10th with 26 points from 19 games, while Crystal Palace are 11th with the same points but having played a game less. This is a classic Premier League clash where both teams will see this as a winnable game, and that usually leads to an open contest. Newcastle's recent form is a tale of goals. In their last ten matches, they've scored 18 times but conceded 14, failing to keep a single clean sheet. Their home games have been particularly lively, with their last four at St James' Park all featuring goals at both ends and over 2.5 goals: a 2-2 draw with Chelsea, a 2-1 win over Fulham, a 2-1 victory against Burnley, and another 2-2 draw with Tottenham. They average 2.0 goals scored per home game but concede 1.5, demonstrating both potency and vulnerability. Their 3-1 away win at Burnley just before this fixture shows they are in scoring form. Crystal Palace's story is one of contrasting home and away fortunes. Their last five away trips have yielded three wins, a draw, and just one loss. More importantly, they've scored in four of those five, netting 1.6 goals per game on the road. Victories at Fulham (2-1) and Burnley (1-0) show they can grind out results, while a 1-1 draw at league leaders Arsenal in the League Cup proves their capability against the very best. However, they've also been breached defensively in three of those five away matches. The head-to-head record heavily favours Newcastle, who are unbeaten in five home meetings against Palace (3 wins, 2 draws). The most recent encounter was a brutal 5-0 demolition in April 2025. While history points to a home win, the current defensive records of both sides suggest Palace will likely find the net this time. Statistically, Newcastle dominate the ball, averaging 57.5% possession and 7.75 corners at home. They also fire off over 15 shots per game. Palace, while seeing less of the ball away (43.6% possession), are efficient, converting a higher percentage of their shots on target (45.4%) compared to their overall season. The goal expectancy models point to a close game with both teams likely to score, aligning perfectly with the recent trends. **Key Points:** * Newcastle have seen Both Teams to Score in 80% of their last 10 matches (8 of 10). * Crystal Palace have scored in 4 of their last 5 away games. * Newcastle have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 matches across all competitions. * The last four Newcastle home games have all finished with BTTS: Yes and Over 2.5 Goals. * Head-to-head history favours Newcastle, but Palace's recent away form makes them a dangerous opponent. **Summary & Betting Tip:** All signs point towards goals at both ends. Newcastle's attack is firing at home, but their defence is consistently leaky. Crystal Palace are a capable attacking unit on their travels. With the market offering 1.80 for Both Teams to Score, we are getting excellent value on a outcome that has occurred in 8 of Newcastle's last 10 and in 4 of their last 4 home games. It's the clear statistical play.