The Premiership's basement battle sees rock-bottom Livingston host a ST Mirren side looking to halt a three-game league losing streak. With just three days separating this fixture from their 1-1 FA Cup draw, familiarity and fatigue will be key factors. The data paints a clear picture: Livingston's defensive frailties against ST Mirren's ability to find the net, even in defeat, makes Both Teams to Score the standout value play. Livingston's season has been nothing short of disastrous, with just one win from 21 league games and a paltry 10 points. Their recent form shows minor green shoots, however, with back-to-back 1-1 draws against Kilmarnock and, crucially, ST Mirren in the cup. Despite this slight uptick, the underlying numbers remain alarming. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last ten matches across all competitions, conceding an average of 1.90 goals per game. At home, they are slightly more potent going forward, scoring 1.17 per game, but they leak goals at an even higher rate, conceding 2.00 per match on their own turf. Their 1-3 loss to Dundee Utd and 2-4 defeat to Celtic in December are stark reminders of their defensive vulnerability. ST Mirren sit eight points and two places above their hosts but arrive with momentum firmly in reverse gear. They have lost their last three Premiership fixtures, failing to score in defeats to Falkirk (0-2), Motherwell (0-2), and Hearts (0-2). However, their overall profile suggests they are capable of troubling the scorers. They netted three times against Celtic in a League Cup win and twice against Dundee Utd in the league last month. Their away form is a concern, with no wins in their last five on the road (D2, L3), but they do average a goal per game away from home while conceding two. The head-to-head record heavily favours the visitors, who have won all four of their previous away league games at Livingston, including a 1-0 victory just last month. The recent 1-1 cup draw is the most pertinent form guide. It demonstrated Livingston can score against this opponent (ending a run of failing to score in three of the previous four H2Hs) and that ST Mirren can breach their defence. With Livingston's 0% clean sheet rate over ten games and BTTS landing in 60% of their matches, the odds of both nets rippling are significantly higher than the implied probability of the 1.91 price. **Key Points:** * Livingston have **no clean sheets** in their last 10 matches. * Both Teams Scored in **60%** of Livingston's recent games and in the teams' last meeting. * ST Mirren have scored in 7 of their last 10 outings. * The visitors have won **all four** of their previous away league matches at Livingston. * Goal expectancy models point towards a relatively high-scoring affair (~3.08 total goals). **Summary & Betting Verdict:** This is a clash between the league's worst defence and a side desperate to rediscover its scoring touch after a barren league run. The historical dominance of ST Mirren is tempting, but their current away slump injects risk. The safest angle, brimming with value, is backing goals at both ends. Livingston's inability to keep the ball out of their net is a season-long constant, while ST Mirren have shown enough attacking quality against better sides to suggest they will capitalize. At odds of 1.91, **Both Teams to Score - Yes** offers substantial positive expected value and is the clear analytical choice.