This Premiership clash pits 7th-placed Aberdeen against 11th-placed ST Mirren, with both teams coming into this match with contrasting recent form. Aberdeen has been solid lately, accumulating 5 wins, 3 draws, and just 2 losses in their last 10 games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Their defensive record has been particularly impressive, keeping 6 clean sheets in that period. ST Mirren, on the other hand, are struggling with just 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in their last 10 matches, managing only 0.80 points per game. Their defensive frailties are evident, having kept just 1 clean sheet in their last 10 outings and conceding an average of 1.80 goals per game. Looking at recent results, Aberdeen has been grinding out narrow victories, including 1-0 wins against Livingston, Heart Of Midlothian, Kilmarnock, and ST Mirren in the reverse fixture. They also showed their attacking potential with a 4-0 demolition of Dundee. ST Mirren's recent form shows defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 3 goals in losses to Dundee and Hibernian. The head-to-head record slightly favors ST Mirren overall (5 wins to 3), but Aberdeen has a 50% home win rate against them. Interestingly, 7 of the 9 previous meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, though recent form suggests this trend might not continue. Aberdeen's home form shows they average 1.60 goals scored and just 0.80 conceded per game at home. ST Mirren's away form is concerning, averaging 1.60 goals scored but 2.20 conceded per game on their travels. With Aberdeen's defensive solidity and ST Mirren's away defensive struggles, this looks like a match where goals could be at a premium, despite the historical high-scoring nature of this fixture. Key Points: - Aberdeen has kept 6 clean sheets in last 10 games (60% rate) - ST Mirren has kept only 1 clean sheet in last 10 games (10% rate) - Aberdeen averages 0.80 goals conceded at home - ST Mirren averages 2.20 goals conceded away - Both teams average 1.10 goals scored per game - Aberdeen won the reverse fixture 1-0 - Goal expectancy suggests 3.1 total goals expected Based on the defensive patterns and recent form, I'm backing under 2.5 goals in this fixture. Aberdeen's solid home defense and ST Mirren's away struggles suggest a tighter affair than the historical head-to-head would indicate.