⚽️
Colombia1-0Congo DR
Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 17:15
HNL
Croatia
Croatia
Full Time

Match Timeline

9'
Ville Koski🟨
Yellow Card
36'
J. Prsir
Normal Goal → I. Pozo
40'
Žan Trontelj🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
Dario Marešić🟨
Yellow Card
60'
A. Jay🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Prevljak
64'
L. Vrzic🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Les
72'
Jurica Pršir🟨
Yellow Card
73'
M. Nasraoui🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Kumar
78'
S. Lawal🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Bangura
78'
D. Djuric🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Agada
82'
J. Prsir🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Pavicic
82'
O. Bakic🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Durakovic
90+1'
Iker Pozo🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
F. Cuic🔄
Substitution 4 → V. Pelko

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal8
12Total Shots14
3Blocked Shots1
11Shots insidebox7
1Shots outsidebox7
8Fouls13
2Corner Kicks2
0Offsides1
43Ball Possession57
3Yellow Cards2
5Goalkeeper Saves5
407Total passes533
307Passes accurate445
75Passes %83

Starting Lineups

HNK GoricaHNK Gorica1:1

Starting XI

71Davor MatijašG
19Marijan ČabrajaM
36Ante KaveljM
20Luka VrzićD
9Filip ČuićF
4Jakov FilipovićD
8Iker PozoM
10Jurica PrširF
45Stefan PerićD
7Ognjen BakićF
22Žan TronteljD

Istra 1961Istra 19611:1

Starting XI

1Franko KolićG
4Dario MarešićD
97Advan KadušićM
17Emil FrederiksenF
21Ville KoskiD
8Antonio MaurićM
70Salim Fago LawalF
3Mohamed NasraouiD
5Josip RadoševićM
22Danijel Dejan DjuricF
23Alejandro JayM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica
Form: D-W-W-L-L
Istra 1961
Istra 1961
Form: W-L-D-W-L
Record
5 W
1 D
4 L
5 W
2 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
2.1
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:3.7
Conceded
Home:1.9
Away:0.7
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1544
Average
1605
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1549
↑ Momentum (+5)
1674
↑ Momentum (+69)
Expected Outcome
28%
Home Win
32%
Draw
40%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1473
Attack
1519
1515
Defence
1600
Recent Form
1489
Attack
1550
1492
Defence
1605
Post-Match Changes
+10
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Gorica vs Istra: Both Teams To Score Value Bet
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+17.0%

This HNL clash between HNK Gorica and Istra 1961 presents an intriguing betting opportunity despite the contrasting league positions. Gorica sits 7th with 15 points, while Istra occupies 4th place with 19 points, but the recent form tells a more nuanced story. Gorica's recent performances have been a rollercoaster. They've shown explosive attacking potential with a 4-1 demolition of NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and a stunning 6-0 cup victory over Rudes. However, they've also been vulnerable defensively, suffering losses to top sides like HNK Hajduk Split (1-3), NK Varazdin (1-3), and HNK Rijeka (1-3). Their home form is particularly concerning - just a 28.57% win rate at their own stadium, though they're averaging 1.43 goals scored while conceding 1.86 per home game. Istra 1961 arrives with more consistency and momentum. Their recent 2-1 victory over Dinamo Zagreb was a statement result, and they've been solid on the road with a 40% away win rate. They average exactly 1.20 goals scored and conceded away from home, showing balanced but unspectacular performances. Their defensive record is certainly better than Gorica's. The head-to-head record favors Gorica at home (3-1-0), but Istra won the most recent encounter 1-0. Historically, these matches have been low-scoring, but current form suggests otherwise. The key statistical insight lies in both teams' BTTS tendencies. Gorica has seen both teams score in 80% of their recent matches, while Istra sits at 70%. Given Gorica's defensive frailties at home (conceding 1.86 per game) and Istra's ability to score on the road, the Both Teams To Score market offers excellent value. With goal expectancies pointing to around 2.84 total goals and both sides showing attacking intent combined with defensive vulnerabilities, BTTS Yes at 1.80 represents the smart betting approach here.

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