Match Timeline
Shaun Whalley🟨
Louis Flower🟨Isaac Heath⚽Reece Brown🔄Harry McKirdy🔄Shaun Whalley🔄Kabongo Tshimanga⚽Paddy Madden🔄Conor Grant🔄Isaac Sinclair🔄Louis Flower🔄Alex Henderson🟨Harry Forster🟨Charlie Barker🟨Match Statistics
Starting Lineups
Crawley Town1:1
Starting XI
Accrington ST1:1
Starting XI
Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 Crawley TownHome | Rating |  Accrington STAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,489.5 | Overall | 1,432.2 |
| 1,507 | Match venue | 1,418.5 |
| 1,507 | At home | 1,488.1 |
| 1,454.6 | Away | 1,418.5 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,496.1 | Attack | 1,435.1 |
| 1,503.7 | Defence | 1,499.4 |
| 1,498.4 | Home attack | 1,458.3 |
| 1,474.6 | Away attack | 1,422.5 |
| 1,546.6 | Home defence | 1,537.1 |
| 1,460.8 | Away defence | 1,473.9 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,741.7 | Goal environment | 1,690 |
| 1,578.3 | Home goals | 1,683.3 |
| 1,663.3 | Away goals | 1,506.7 |
| 1,530 | Possession | 1,493.3 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,506.9 | Set-piece attack | 1,502 |
| 1,506.5 | Set-piece defence | 1,502.1 |
| 1,461.7 | Close games | 1,466.8 |
| 1,495.1 | Winning margin | 1,430.2 |
Match venue compares Crawley Town at home with Accrington ST away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
📝 Match Preview
Two struggling League Two sides clash at the bottom of the table, but don't let their league positions fool you - this could be an absolute goal-fest! Crawley Town sit 20th with just 16 points, while Accrington ST are marginally better off in 18th on 17 points, separated by only a single point. Recent form tells an interesting story. Crawley have been inconsistent but capable of explosive performances, highlighted by that stunning 4-0 demolition of Bristol Rovers and a solid 2-1 victory over Fleetwood Town. However, they've also shipped three goals at Boreham Wood and struggled defensively, conceding 17 times in their last 10 matches. Accrington, meanwhile, have shown better overall form with 1.20 points per game compared to Crawley's 0.80. They've been involved in some thrillers recently - a 3-3 draw at Chesterfield, a 4-0 home win against league leaders Swindon Town, and a 3-1 victory over Bristol Rovers. Their attack is firing with 16 goals in 10 games. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced at 4 wins each and 1 draw from 9 meetings, with 6 of those games seeing over 2.5 goals. Both teams have high both-teams-to-score rates (Crawley 70%, Accrington 60%), suggesting we're in for an open, attacking encounter. Crawley's home form shows they can score (1.80 goals per game at home) but also concede (1.20 per game). Accrington's away record is poor with no wins in their last 4 away trips, but they're still finding the net with 1.25 goals per game on their travels while shipping 2.00. With both teams needing points and showing defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining attacking intent, the goal environment looks ripe for an over 2.5 goals scenario. The statistics and recent form patterns all point toward plenty of action in both boxes. Key Points: • Both teams in bottom half, separated by just 1 point • Crawley scored 4 vs Bristol Rovers, Accrington beat leaders Swindon 4-0 • High BTTS rates: Crawley 70%, Accrington 60% in last 10 games • 6/9 H2H matches went over 2.5 goals • Both teams averaging over 1.3 goals scored per game recently • Defensive issues: Crawley concede 1.70/game, Accrington 1.50/game Given the attacking intent from both sides and their defensive struggles, over 2.5 goals looks the value play here.
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