⚽️
Avondale10-0Dandenong Thunder
Tue, 9 Dec 2025, 19:45
League Two
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

3'
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing
Normal Goal → Callum Paterson
8'
Matthew Dennis
Normal Goal → Jacob Bedeau
13'
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing
Penalty
26'
Alassana Jatta
Normal Goal
36'
Aaron Nemane🟨
Yellow Card
45+4'
Lewis Macari🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Aaron Nemane🔄
Substitution 1 → Gethin Jones
59'
Luke Offord🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing🔄
Substitution 2 → Aaron Collins
67'
Laurence Maguire🔄
Substitution 3 → Joseph Tomlinson
73'
Nick Tsaroulla🔄
Substitution 1 → Maziar Kouhyar
73'
Conor Grant🔄
Substitution 2 → Jodi Jones
76'
Callum Paterson🔄
Substitution 4 → Will Collar
84'
Alassana Jatta🔄
Substitution 3 → Kellan Gordon
88'
Tom Iorpenda
Normal Goal
90'
Lewis Macari🔄
Substitution 4 → Lucas Ness
90'
Liam Kelly🔄
Substitution 5 → Daniel Crowley
90+5'
Kane Thompson-Sommers🟨
Yellow Card
90+8'
Matthew Dennis🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal7
9Total Shots15
0Blocked Shots2
7Shots insidebox14
2Shots outsidebox1
12Fouls16
2Corner Kicks1
1Offsides2
42Ball Possession58
2Yellow Cards3
4Goalkeeper Saves3
311Total passes418
205Passes accurate301
66Passes %72

Starting Lineups

Notts CountyNotts County1:1

Starting XI

1Kelle RoosG
4Jacob BedeauD
47Keanan BennettsM
19Matthew DennisF
29Alassana JattaF
5Matthew PlattD
14Tom IorpendaM
11Conor GrantF
28Lewis MacariD
8Oliver NorburnM
25Nick TsaroullaM

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1:1

Starting XI

1Craig MacGillivrayG
23Laurence MaguireD
22Jon MellishM
11Nathaniel Méndez-LaingF
21Marvin EkpitetaD
8Alex GilbeyM
13Callum PatersonF
15Luke OffordD
6Liam KellyM
20Kane Thompson-SommersM
16Aaron NemaneM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Notts County
Notts County
Form: W-L-D-W-L
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
Form: W-W-D-W-L
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
6 W
2 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
2.2
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1504
Average
1518
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1519
↑ Momentum (+15)
1512
↓ Momentum (-6)
Expected Outcome
32%
Home Win
34%
Draw
34%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1524
Attack
1498
1541
Defence
1515
Recent Form
1536
Attack
1505
1538
Defence
1521
Post-Match Changes
+12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Top Four Clash: Both Teams To Score Value
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+17.0%

This League Two showdown between two playoff contenders promises goals and entertainment. Notts County sit 4th with 31 points, while visitors Milton Keynes Dons occupy 3rd spot just one point ahead, making this a crucial six-pointer in the race for promotion. Notts County have been solid at home this season, though their recent form shows mixed results. They've scored 15 goals in their last 10 games (1.5 per game) while conceding 12. Notably, both teams have scored in 60% of their recent matches, highlighting their attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. Their home record shows a 40% win rate with 1.40 goals scored and conceded per game. Milton Keynes Dons arrive in better form, averaging 2.00 points per game over their last 10 matches compared to Notts County's 1.80. The visitors have been prolific scorers, netting 22 times (2.2 per game) and have seen both teams score in 70% of their recent fixtures. Their away form is particularly impressive in attack, averaging 2.40 goals per game on the road. The head-to-head record slightly favors MK Dons (4 wins to 2), and they won the last meeting 3-0. However, 5 of their 8 previous encounters have seen both teams find the net, which aligns perfectly with both sides' current scoring patterns. Statistically, both teams create similar shot volumes (10.10 vs 10.12 per game), but MK Dons boast superior shot accuracy at 43.2% compared to Notts County's 39.4%. The goal expectancy figures suggest 1.50 goals for the home side and 1.90 for the visitors, pointing towards an open, attacking encounter. While MK Dons have the edge in recent form and head-to-head, the fatigue factor could play a role - they've had just 3 days rest compared to Notts County's 10 days, potentially leveling the playing field. Key Points: • Both teams have high BTTS rates (60% and 70% in recent games) • Combined goal expectancy of 3.40 suggests plenty of scoring opportunities • MK Dons score 2.40 goals per game away from home • Notts County average 1.50 goals per game at home • 5/8 previous meetings saw both teams score • Both teams are in playoff positions, separated by just 1 point Given both teams' attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities, coupled with their recent BTTS percentages, the Both Teams To Score market offers excellent value at 1.80.

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