League Two's Boxing Day hangover continues with a Monday night clash between two sides searching for consistency. Grimsby, sitting 16th with 28 points, welcome a Shrewsbury side languishing in 21st with just 19 points. On paper, this looks like a home banker, but the recent form of both teams tells a more nuanced story—one that points firmly towards both teams finding the net. Grimsby's recent record is a mixed bag, with just two wins in their last ten outings across all competitions. Those victories came against non-league Wealdstone in the FA Cup and Everton's U21s in the EFL Trophy. Their league form is concerning: a single win in their last nine, alongside four draws and four defeats. At home, they've been more potent, averaging 1.67 goals per game, but they've also conceded in five of their last six at their own ground, letting in an average of 1.33. Their last three league matches have yielded just one goal scored and four conceded, including a 0-0 draw with Oldham and losses to promotion-chasing Bromley and Notts County. Shrewsbury's form is arguably worse, with just one win in ten—a 1-0 victory over bottom-side Newport County. Their away record is particularly dire, with no wins in their last six on the road (D2, L4). They are conceding goals at an alarming rate away from home, shipping 2.17 per game. However, and this is the critical point for our bet, they are almost guaranteed to be involved in a game where both teams score. In eight of their last ten matches, both teams have found the net—an 80% hit rate. They've scored in seven of those ten, proving they can trouble defences, even in defeat, as shown in their recent 3-1 loss at Cheltenham and 3-1 loss at Crewe. The head-to-head history adds weight to this analysis. The reverse fixture just three weeks ago on December 9th finished 1-1. In fact, three of the last four meetings between these sides have seen both teams score. The patterns are clear: Grimsby scores at home but is vulnerable, while Shrewsbury concedes heavily but usually gets on the scoresheet themselves. Statistically, the numbers align. Grimsby averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over their last ten. Shrewsbury averages 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded. Put their home and away splits together, and we can expect a game with around three goals. The goal expectancy model provided suggests a 1.92-1.17 scoreline in favour of the hosts, which again points to both teams scoring. While the obvious betting angle might be a Grimsby home win at 1.81, their own shaky form and lack of league wins makes that a risky proposition at short odds. The value, and the clear statistical trend, lies in backing goals at both ends. **Key Points:** * Shrewsbury have seen Both Teams To Score in 8 of their last 10 matches (80%). * Grimsby score an average of 1.67 goals per game at home but concede 1.33. * Shrewsbury concede 2.17 goals per game on the road but still average a goal per away match. * The reverse fixture on December 9th ended 1-1. * Grimsby have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 10 games. **Summary & Bet:** The data paints a compelling picture. Shrewsbury's matches are consistently open, and Grimsby has the firepower at home to exploit their weak defence. Conversely, Shrewsbury's ability to score on their travels suggests they can breach a Grimsby backline that has kept just one clean sheet in its last six home games. At odds of 1.87, 'Both Teams To Score - Yes' offers significant value against an implied probability of just 53.5%, making it the standout betting selection for this League Two encounter.