🟨
Colombia1-0Congo DR
Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 14:00
League Two
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

27'
E. Taylor
Normal Goal → L. Gibson
46'
K. Thompson-Sommers🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Leigh
46'
J. Quigley🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Harrison
50'
S. Forde
Normal Goal → T. Leigh
55'
E. Taylor
Normal Goal
58'
E. Acquah🔄
Substitution 1 → S. McCoulsky
61'
E. Harrison
Normal Goal
64'
J. McEachran🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Lockyer
72'
R. De Havilland🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Kilgour
72'
Y. Akhamrich🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Cavegn
75'
Chanse Headman🟨
Yellow Card
76'
J. Slater🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Faulkner
79'
E. Harrison
Penalty
81'
C. Headman🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Duke-McKenna

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal8
14Total Shots15
6Blocked Shots1
12Shots insidebox9
2Shots outsidebox6
15Fouls12
5Corner Kicks4
2Offsides1
47Ball Possession53
1Yellow Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves0
298Total passes364
199Passes accurate246
67Passes %68

Starting Lineups

Harrogate TownHarrogate Town1:1

Starting XI

13H. GrayG
3J. SlaterD
4J. EvansM
22R. SmithM
12E. AcquahF
30L. GibsonD
8B. MorrisM
38T. Brenan4:2
31C. HeffernanD
21E. TaylorM
16C. HeadmanD

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1:1

Starting XI

13B. YoungG
26R. HarbottleD
15R. De HavillandM
7S. FordeF
27J. QuigleyF
6C. MolaD
20J. McEachranM
10Y. AkhamrichF
17K. BalmerD
14K. Thompson-SommersM
2J. SeniorM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Harrogate Town
Harrogate Town
Form: W-L-L-W-L
Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
Form: W-W-W-W-L
Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
7 W
1 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.0
Scored
vs
1.4
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
0.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.3
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1375
Developing
1560
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1313
↓ Momentum (-62)
1584
↑ Momentum (+23)
Expected Outcome
19%
Home Win
25%
Draw
56%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1360
Attack
1487
1505
Defence
1542
Recent Form
1292
Attack
1502
1529
Defence
1566
Post-Match Changes
-10
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers - League Two Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.54
Expected Value:+77.8%
Confidence:8

League Two action continues as Harrogate Town host Bristol Rovers. The data points strongly towards the visitors. Bristol Rovers enter this fixture in exceptional form, boasting a 70% win rate over their last 10 games, accumulating 2.20 points per game. In contrast, Harrogate Town have managed only 3 wins in their last 10 matches, averaging just 1.20 points per game. This form gap is the primary signal for the prediction. The league table reflects this disparity. Bristol Rovers sit in 16th place with 49 points, while Harrogate Town are rooted at the bottom in 24th place with 33 points. The gap in points is significant, suggesting a clear difference in quality and consistency. Harrogate Town's defensive struggles are evident, having conceded 24 goals in 41 games, while Bristol Rovers have conceded only 22 goals in 41 games. Head-to-head records favor Bristol Rovers as well. In their three previous meetings, Bristol Rovers have won twice, while Harrogate Town has won once. The specific scores were 0-3 and 0-1 in favor of Bristol Rovers, with Harrogate winning 1-0 in the most recent encounter. Notably, Harrogate Town have a 0% win rate in their last 4 home games, conceding an average of 1.00 goals per game at home. Their home attack is particularly weak, averaging just 0.25 goals per game in home fixtures. Bristol Rovers' away form is robust. They average 1.00 goals scored per game away from home and have kept 40% clean sheets in their last 10 games. Their goal expectancy is 1.00, compared to Harrogate's 0.62 at home. This statistical gap supports an away victory. The betting odds offer value. The bookmakers price an Away Win at 2.54, implying a probability of roughly 39.4%. However, based on Bristol Rovers' recent 70% win rate and Harrogate's 0% home win rate in recent fixtures, the actual probability is significantly higher, creating a substantial edge. Therefore, the data supports backing the visitors.

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