🟨
Patriotas0-1Ind. Yumbo
Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 14:00
League Two
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

12'
Nohan Kenneh🟨
Yellow Card
34'
Riley Harbottle🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Lee O'Connor🔄
Substitution 1 → Patrick Brough
46'
Tommy Leigh🔄
Substitution 1 → Josh McEachran
60'
Fabrizio Cavegn🔄
Substitution 2 → Promise Omochere
63'
Sam Finley🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Kofi Balmer🟨
Yellow Card
64'
Nohan Kenneh🔄
Substitution 2 → Ryan Watson
64'
Kaiyne Woolery🔄
Substitution 3 → Kristian Dennis
65'
Promise Omochere⚽
Normal Goal → Brad Young
71'
Jayden Joseph⚽
Normal Goal → Ethan Bristow
75'
Nathan James Smith🟨
Yellow Card
78'
Kane Thompson-Sommers🔄
Substitution 3 → Yusuf Akhamrich
79'
Zech Obiero🔄
Substitution 4 → Charlie Whitaker
79'
Joe Quigley🔄
Substitution 4 → Ellis Harrison
84'
Yusuf Akhamrich⚽
Normal Goal → Shaqai Forde
90'
Shaqai Forde🔄
Substitution 5 → Mees Rijks
90+2'
Kristian Dennis🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
Brad Young🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal4
10Total Shots10
3Blocked Shots2
4Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox6
11Fouls14
5Corner Kicks2
1Offsides1
52Ball Possession48
4Yellow Cards3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
324Total passes308
197Passes accurate200
61Passes %65

Starting Lineups

TranmereTranmere1:1

Starting XI

33Marko MarosiG
15William TamenD
23Ethan BristowM
32Zech ObieroF
41Kaiyne WooleryF
5Nathan James SmithD
42Nohan KennehM
11Omari PatrickF
22Lee O'ConnorD
8Sam FinleyM
14Jayden JosephM

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1:1

Starting XI

13Brad YoungG
3Jack SparkesD
24Tommy LeighM
7Shaqai FordeM
27Joe QuigleyF
26Riley HarbottleD
15Ryan De HavillandM
29Fabrizio CavegnF
17Kofi BalmerD
14Kane Thompson-SommersM
2Joel SeniorD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Tranmere
Tranmere
Form: D-L-L-L-L
Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
Form: W-W-W-W-W
Record
0 W
2 D
8 L
•
8 W
1 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
0.4
Scored
vs
1.7
Scored
2.0
Conceded
vs
0.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.3
Away:0.5
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:2.0
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:1.0

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Tranmere versus Bristol Rovers: long term ELO, before the match
TranmereHomeRatingBristol RoversAway
Strength
1,327.3Overall1,529.6
1,412Match venue1,467.8
1,412At home1,567.9
1,384.6Away1,467.8
Attack & defence
1,389Attack1,493.9
1,434Defence1,530
1,395.3Home attack1,501.9
1,434.1Away attack1,461.5
1,479.6Home defence1,575
1,445.4Away defence1,492.7
Match profile
1,385Goal environment1,515
1,420Home goals1,490
1,465Away goals1,525
1,487.3Possession1,500.5
Specialist ratings
1,441.8Set-piece attack1,503.9
1,442.6Set-piece defence1,503.9
1,427.2Close games1,518.2
1,300Winning margin1,532.2

Match venue compares Tranmere at home with Bristol Rovers away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Tranmere vs Bristol Rovers: Form and Value Analysis
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.35
Expected Value:+29.3%
Confidence:7

The upcoming League Two fixture between Tranmere and Bristol Rovers presents a stark contrast in current form. Tranmere, sitting in 20th place with 37 points, has not won a single match in their last 10 games. Their home performance is particularly concerning, with a 0% win rate in their last 4 home games and an average of just 0.25 goals scored per home game. Their defensive record is equally troubling, conceding 2.00 goals per game at home. In sharp contrast, Bristol Rovers are flying high in 15th place with 55 points. They have secured 8 wins in their last 10 matches, boasting an 80% win rate. Their away form is robust, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 away games and an average of 1.60 goals scored per away game. Their defensive stability is also notable, with a 40% clean sheet rate in their last 10 games. The betting odds reflect the disparity in form. The bookmakers have set the Away Win odds at 2.35, implying a probability of roughly 42.5%. However, given Tranmere's complete lack of wins and Bristol Rovers' dominant recent run, the true probability of an Away Win is significantly higher, likely around 55%. This discrepancy suggests a clear value opportunity. The head-to-head record shows Tranmere has a slight historical edge (2 wins to 1), but current form heavily favors Bristol Rovers. With Tranmere failing to score in 6 of their last 10 games and Bristol Rovers scoring in 9 of their last 10, the Away Win market offers substantial value. Key Points: - Tranmere has 0 wins in their last 10 matches. - Bristol Rovers have 8 wins in their last 10 matches. - Tranmere scores 0.25 goals per home game; Bristol Rovers score 1.60 goals per away game. - Away Win odds of 2.35 offer significant value over implied probability. Based on the overwhelming form advantage and goal expectancy data, the recommended selection is Bristol Rovers to win.

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