⚽️
Oriental3-0Rentistas
Fri, 28 Nov 2025, 20:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

24'
Mark Harris
Normal Goal
53'
Leif Davis
Normal Goal → Marcelino Núñez
62'
Stanley Mills🔄
Substitution 1 → Przemysław Płacheta
62'
Mark Harris🔄
Substitution 2 → Will Lankshear
70'
Jaden Philogene-Bidace🔄
Substitution 1 → Jack Clarke
71'
Darnell Furlong🔄
Substitution 2 → Ashley Young
71'
George Hirst🔄
Substitution 3 → Chuba Akpom
76'
Luke Harris🔄
Substitution 3 → Ole Romeny
76'
Filip Krastev🔄
Substitution 4 → Tyler Goodrham
77'
Przemysław Płacheta
Normal Goal → Brian De Keersmaecker
84'
Azor Matusiwa🔄
Substitution 4 → Ivan Azón
84'
Sindre Walle Egeli🔄
Substitution 5 → Kasey McAteer

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal5
13Total Shots18
1Blocked Shots6
6Shots insidebox10
7Shots outsidebox8
13Fouls5
3Corner Kicks6
0Offsides3
27Ball Possession73
6Goalkeeper Saves6
210Total passes572
122Passes accurate490
58Passes %86
1.24expected_goals1.7
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Oxford UnitedOxford United1:1

Starting XI

1Jamie CummingG
26Jack CurrieD
14Brian De KeersmaeckerM
50Filip KrastevM
9Mark HarrisF
3Ciaron BrownD
4Will VaulksM
12Luke HarrisM
6Michał HelikD
17Stanley MillsM
2Sam LongD

IpswichIpswich1:1

Starting XI

28Christian WaltonG
3Leif DavisD
14Jack TaylorM
11Jaden Philogene-BidaceM
9George HirstF
4Cédric KipréD
5Azor MatusiwaM
32Marcelino NúñezM
26Dara O'SheaD
8Sindre Walle EgeliM
19Darnell FurlongD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Oxford United
Oxford United
Form: D-D-L-L-D
Ipswich
Ipswich
Form: W-D-W-D-W
Record
2 W
4 D
4 L
5 W
3 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
0.9
Scored
vs
1.7
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1493
Average
1587
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1475
↓ Momentum (-17)
1631
↑ Momentum (+44)
Expected Outcome
26%
Home Win
30%
Draw
44%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1464
Attack
1545
1495
Defence
1564
Recent Form
1440
Attack
1535
1474
Defence
1595
Post-Match Changes
+14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Ipswich to Continue Away Form Against Struggling Oxford
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+5.4%
Confidence:65

The Championship table tells a clear story of two teams heading in opposite directions. Oxford United sit second from bottom with just 14 points from 16 games, while Ipswich occupy 8th place with 24 points from 15 matches. The gulf in quality and form is evident when diving into the recent performances. Oxford's recent form makes grim reading for their supporters - just 2 wins in their last 10 games, with their attack firing blanks at 0.8 goals per game. They've managed only 8 goals in those 10 matches while conceding 13. Their home record offers little solace either, with a 25% win rate and they're shipping 1.5 goals per home game. Recent results include a 0-3 home defeat to Stoke City and a fortunate 1-1 draw against Middlesbrough, highlighting their struggles against quality opposition. Contrast this with Ipswich, who have been excellent on their travels. Their away form reads 40% wins with an impressive 2.0 goals per game average. Recent away performances have been particularly eye-catching - a 4-1 demolition of Swansea and another 4-1 victory at QPR demonstrate their attacking prowess. Overall, Ipswich are averaging 1.5 goals per game while keeping things tight at the back with 1.0 goals conceded per game. The statistical dominance is clear - Ipswich average 15.5 shots per game compared to Oxford's 11.4, while enjoying 57.1% possession versus Oxford's 43.9%. The Tractor Boys also boast superior pass accuracy at 81.9% compared to Oxford's 74.0%. While the head-to-head record shows historically tight encounters (5 draws in 8 meetings), current form suggests this pattern could be broken. Oxford's defensive vulnerabilities combined with Ipswich's away firepower point towards an away victory. Key Points: - Ipswich have won 40% of their away games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per away match - Oxford have managed only 0.8 goals per game in their last 10 matches - Ipswich recently won 4-1 at both Swansea and QPR - Oxford sit 21st in the table with just 14 points from 16 games - Ipswich average 15.5 shots per game compared to Oxford's 11.4 The betting odds offer value on the away win at 1.70, which implies around a 59% probability. Given Ipswich's superior form, attacking statistics, and away record, this represents good value for a confident selection.

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