⚽️
Ulverstone0-2Launceston City
Tue, 9 Dec 2025, 19:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

8'
Ousmane Diakité🟨
Yellow Card
12'
Leo Scienza
Normal Goal → Tom Fellows
17'
Adam Armstrong
Normal Goal
35'
Adam Armstrong
Normal Goal → Finn Azaz
39'
Alex Mowatt🔄
Substitution 1 → Jayson Molumby
49'
Adam Armstrong🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Karlan Grant
Normal Goal
63'
Leo Scienza🔄
Substitution 1 → Cameron Archer
63'
Tom Fellows🔄
Substitution 2 → Ryan Fraser
75'
Adam Armstrong🔄
Substitution 3 → Jay Robinson
76'
Ousmane Diakité🔄
Substitution 2 → Michael Johnston
78'
Isaac Price🟨
Yellow Card
86'
Nathaniel Phillips
Normal Goal → Michael Johnston
87'
Caspar Jander🔄
Substitution 4 → Oriol Romeu
87'
Finn Azaz🔄
Substitution 5 → Joe Aribo
89'
Oriol Romeu🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Isaac Price🔄
Substitution 3 → Daryl Dike

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal7
2Shots off Goal4
8Total Shots18
2Blocked Shots7
5Shots insidebox16
3Shots outsidebox2
12Fouls13
2Corner Kicks9
1Offsides3
55Ball Possession45
2Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves1
554Total passes424
477Passes accurate354
86Passes %83
0.97expected_goals1.34
-1goals_prevented-1

Starting Lineups

SouthamptonSouthampton1:1

Starting XI

31Gavin BazunuG
17Joshua QuarshieD
3Ryan ManningM
13Leo ScienzaF
9Adam ArmstrongF
15Nathan WoodD
20Caspar JanderM
10Finn AzazF
6Taylor Harwood-BellisD
4Flynn DownesM
18Tom FellowsM

West BromWest Brom1:1

Starting XI

23Joe WildsmithG
4Callum StylesD
27Alex MowattM
10Karlan GrantM
19Aune Selland HeggebøF
2Chris MephamD
17Ousmane DiakitéM
21Isaac PriceM
3Nathaniel PhillipsD
22Samuel Iling JuniorM
5Krystian BielikD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Southampton
Southampton
Form: W-L-W-W-W
West Brom
West Brom
Form: L-W-D-L-W
Record
5 W
1 D
4 L
3 W
2 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
2.0
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:2.2
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:2.0
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:2.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1587
Average
1596
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1607
↑ Momentum (+20)
1581
↓ Momentum (-15)
Expected Outcome
32%
Home Win
34%
Draw
34%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1572
Attack
1473
1518
Defence
1517
Recent Form
1582
Attack
1478
1498
Defence
1475
Post-Match Changes
+7
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Southampton Set to Continue Home Dominance Over West Brom
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.15
Expected Value:+24.7%

This Championship clash presents a fascinating case study in home advantage versus away struggles. Southampton, sitting 11th in the table, have been in decent form recently with 5 wins from their last 10 games, including some impressive attacking displays like the 5-1 thrashing of Charlton and a 3-0 victory over Leicester. Their home form has been particularly solid, winning 60% of their last 5 matches at their own ground. West Brom, meanwhile, find themselves in 16th place and have been struggling mightily on their travels. The most damning statistic is their 0% win rate in their last 5 away games, where they've been conceding at an alarming rate of 2.00 goals per game while only managing to score 0.80 themselves. Recent away defeats include a 3-1 loss to QPR and a narrow 2-1 defeat against league leaders Coventry. The head-to-head record tells an even more compelling story. Southampton have dominated this fixture historically, winning 7 of 9 meetings overall and maintaining a perfect 4-0-0 record when hosting West Brom. The last meeting ended in a 3-1 victory for Southampton, continuing their supremacy over the Baggies. Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, with both teams finding the net in 70% of their recent matches. Southampton are averaging 2.00 goals per game over their last 10, while West Brom are shipping 2.00 goals per game away from home. This suggests we could see goals, but the crucial factor remains Southampton's home fortress against West Brom's travel sickness. The stats paint a clear picture: Southampton's attacking prowess at home (1.80 goals per game) combined with West Brom's defensive vulnerabilities on the road (2.00 conceded per game) creates a significant edge for the hosts. With odds of 2.15 for a home win against a side that hasn't won away in 5 attempts, the value is undeniable.

Read Full Preview →