⚽️
Loudoun United1-3Rhode Island
Mon, 29 Dec 2025, 19:45
Full Time
2:1
HT: 1 - 0

Match Timeline

39'
Nathan Broadhead
Normal Goal → Kieffer Moore
46'
Kieffer Moore🔄
Substitution 1 → Sam Smith
59'
Brad Potts🔄
Substitution 1 → Pol Valentín
64'
Mads Frøkjær-Jensen🔄
Substitution 2 → Michael Smith
70'
Josh Windass🔄
Substitution 2 → Oliver Rathbone
70'
Ben Sheaf🔄
Substitution 3 → George Dobson
77'
Oliver Rathbone
Normal Goal → George Dobson
78'
Harrison Armstrong🔄
Substitution 3 → Jamal Lewis
78'
Daniel Jebbison🔄
Substitution 4 → Will Keane
79'
Liam Lindsay🔄
Substitution 5 → Alistair McCann
84'
Alfie Devine
Normal Goal → Michael Smith
86'
Nathan Broadhead🔄
Substitution 4 → Jay Rodriguez

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal8
14Total Shots13
3Blocked Shots1
12Shots insidebox9
2Shots outsidebox4
11Fouls10
3Corner Kicks3
2Offsides1
46Ball Possession54
3Goalkeeper Saves4
406Total passes475
317Passes accurate387
78Passes %81
2.53expected_goals1.07
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

WrexhamWrexham1:1

Starting XI

1Arthur OkonkwoG
2Callum DoyleD
14George ThomasonM
33Nathan BroadheadF
19Kieffer MooreF
5Dominic HyamD
37Matty JamesM
10Josh WindassF
4Max CleworthD
18Ben SheafM
47Ryan LongmanM

PrestonPreston1:1

Starting XI

1Daniel IversenG
42Odeluga OffiahD
26Thierry SmallM
21Alfie DevineF
9Daniel JebbisonF
6Liam LindsayD
4Benjamin WhitemanM
10Mads Frøkjær-JensenF
14Jordan StoreyD
5Harrison ArmstrongM
44Brad PottsM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Wrexham
Wrexham
Form: W-L-D-L-D
Preston
Preston
Form: D-D-W-D-D
Record
3 W
5 D
2 L
3 W
6 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
1.3
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
1.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
90%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:0.4
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1525
Average
1526
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1570
↑ Momentum (+45)
1530
↑ Momentum (+4)
Expected Outcome
32%
Home Win
35%
Draw
33%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1524
Attack
1457
1515
Defence
1555
Recent Form
1551
Attack
1463
1520
Defence
1568
Post-Match Changes
+11
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Wrexham vs Preston: Goals Expected in Championship Clash
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.92
Expected Value:+24.8%
Confidence:75

The Championship serves up an intriguing mid-table clash as 13th-placed Wrexham welcome 5th-placed Preston North End to the Racecourse Ground. On paper, this looks like a classic case of home fortress against a stubborn away side, but the underlying numbers tell a fascinating story for bettors. Wrexham arrive with momentum after a thrilling 5-3 victory over Sheffield United on Boxing Day. That result showcased their potent attack but also highlighted defensive vulnerabilities. At home, their form is notably strong, boasting a 60% win rate and an unbeaten record in their last five fixtures at the Racecourse Ground. They average a healthy 2.20 goals per game on home turf, with recent wins over Bristol City (2-0) and Charlton (1-0), and a high-scoring draw with Watford (2-2). However, their loss to a struggling Swansea side (2-1) serves as a reminder of their occasional inconsistency. Preston, sitting comfortably in the playoff spots, are the Championship's draw specialists. With just one defeat in their last ten outings, they are incredibly hard to beat. Their last five away games read like a textbook on resilience: W40%, D60%, L0%. They've secured credible draws on the road against league leaders Coventry (1-1) and a solid Watford side (1-1), proving they can compete with the division's best. While they don't score prolifically away (1.40 per game), they are remarkably consistent at finding the net. The head-to-head record is brief but telling. The two meetings this season have both seen goals at both ends—a 3-2 win for Wrexham in August and a 1-1 draw just three weeks ago on December 6th. This trend is central to the betting angle for this fixture. **Key Points:** * **Preston's BTTS Phenomenon:** In their last ten matches, both teams have scored in a staggering 90% of Preston's games. This isn't a fluke; it's a defining characteristic of their season. * **Wrexham's Home Firepower:** At home, Wrexham average 2.20 goals per game. They create chances, averaging 15.8 shots per home match, and have scored in four of their last five at home. * **Defensive Records:** While Wrexham keep a decent 40% clean sheet rate overall, Preston's defence on the road is solid, conceding just 1.00 goal per away game. However, Preston's overwhelming BTTS trend suggests they both score and concede regularly. * **Recent Form Echoes Trend:** Wrexham's last match was an eight-goal thriller (5-3), and Preston's last three games have seen both teams score twice. **The Betting Verdict** The market offers Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.92. Given the statistical evidence, this represents significant value. Preston's near-inevitable participation in a BTTS game (9 out of 10), combined with Wrexham's reliable home scoring and the history between these two sides, makes this the standout bet. While a draw (3.38) also holds appeal given Preston's propensity to share the points, the confidence level in goals at both ends is substantially higher. The goal expectancy model (Home 1.60, Away 1.30) also points towards a match with enough action for both nets to be found. **Summary:** All signs point towards a competitive match with goals. Wrexham's attacking home form should see them score, while Preston's incredible 90% BTTS record over their last ten games almost guarantees they'll contribute to the scoreboard as well. At odds of 1.92, Both Teams to Score - Yes is the clear value selection.

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