⚽️
Ural II1-0Orenburg II
Mon, 29 Dec 2025, 19:45
League One
England
England
Full Time
1:1
HT: 0 - 1

Match Timeline

11'
Dan Casey
Normal Goal → Jack Grimmer
17'
Owen Oseni🔄
Substitution 1 → Aribim Pepple
29'
Jamie Mullins🔄
Substitution 1 → Junior Quitirna
33'
Bali Mumba🟨
Yellow Card
44'
Ewan Henderson🟨
Yellow Card
44'
Ewan Henderson🔄
Substitution 2 → Caolan Boyd-Munce
70'
Xavier Amaechi🔄
Substitution 2 → Tegan Finn
77'
Fred Onyedinma🔄
Substitution 3 → George Abbott
78'
Junior Quitirna🔄
Substitution 4 → Connor Taylor
80'
Will Norris🟨
Yellow Card
83'
Julio Pleguezuelo🟨
Yellow Card
83'
Malachi Boateng🔄
Substitution 3 → Kornél Szűcs
83'
Julio Pleguezuelo🔄
Substitution 4 → Mathias Ross
90+4'
Aribim Pepple
Normal Goal

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal9
16Total Shots13
6Blocked Shots3
12Shots insidebox11
4Shots outsidebox2
6Fouls14
10Corner Kicks6
2Offsides1
55Ball Possession45
2Yellow Cards2
0Goalkeeper Saves4
379Total passes307
261Passes accurate173
69Passes %56

Starting Lineups

PlymouthPlymouth1:1

Starting XI

1Conor HazardG
29Matthew SorinolaD
11Bali MumbaM
18Owen OseniF
15Alex MitchellD
4Brendan Sarpong-WireduM
9Lorent TolajF
5Julio PleguezueloD
19Malachi BoatengM
8Joe EdwardsD
10Xavier AmaechiM

WycombeWycombe1:1

Starting XI

50Will NorrisG
3Daniel HarvieD
20Ewan HendersonM
11Sam BellM
12Cauley WoodrowF
45Anders HagelskjærD
10Luke LeahyM
21Jamie MullinsM
17Dan CaseyD
44Fred OnyedinmaM
2Jack GrimmerD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Plymouth
Plymouth
Form: L-W-W-W-L
Wycombe
Wycombe
Form: L-W-D-L-L
Record
5 W
0 D
5 L
3 W
3 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
0.9
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.5
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:0.8
Scored
Home:1.7
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1578
Average
1580
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1498
↓ Momentum (-80)
1591
↑ Momentum (+11)
Expected Outcome
32%
Home Win
35%
Draw
33%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1477
Attack
1494
1527
Defence
1574
Recent Form
1419
Attack
1517
1486
Defence
1537
Post-Match Changes
-3
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Low-Scoring Affair Expected at Home Park
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:2.01
Expected Value:+36.7%
Confidence:68

As a data-driven football bettor, I've crunched the numbers for this League One clash between Plymouth and Wycombe, and one trend screams value: goals are likely to be in short supply, particularly for both teams finding the net. Let's start with the raw facts. Plymouth sit 20th with 25 points from 22 games, while Wycombe are 10th with 28 points. On paper, it's a mid-table side against a struggler, but recent form tells a different story. Plymouth's last ten games show a bizarre Jekyll and Hyde act: five wins and five losses, with zero draws. More tellingly, their home form is a major concern. From their last four games at Home Park, they've won just once (25%), conceding a worrying 2.0 goals per game while scoring only 0.5. Their most recent outing was a sobering 1-4 home defeat to Reading. Wycombe's travels have been even bleaker in front of goal. In their last six away matches across all competitions, they've scored just once—a 1-1 draw at Rotherham. That's a solitary goal in over 540 minutes of football on the road, culminating in a 4-0 thrashing at Luton just three days ago. Their away record shows a paltry 0.57 goals scored per game. The head-to-head history reinforces this low-scoring narrative. The last five meetings between these sides have all finished with one or both teams failing to score, including Plymouth's 1-0 win at Wycombe earlier this month. In fact, both teams have scored in only two of the nine total recorded encounters (22%). Statistically, Plymouth averages just 1.75 shots on target at home with poor 18.8% accuracy, while Wycombe, despite dominating 58.5% possession away, manages only 3.17 shots on target. The goal expectancies point to a tight game, but the recent scoring droughts are impossible to ignore. **Key Points:** * Plymouth's home form is dire: 1 win in 4, conceding 2.0 goals per game while scoring 0.5. * Wycombe are goal-shy on the road: 1 goal in their last 6 away matches. * Head-to-head record is dominated by clean sheets; BTTS has landed in only 22% of all meetings. * Both teams are coming off heavy defeats (1-4 and 0-4), which could lead to a cautious, tight encounter. **The Bet:** The market offers Both Teams to Score - 'No' at a generous 2.01. Given the overwhelming evidence of offensive struggles, particularly Wycombe's travel sickness and Plymouth's home impotence, the probability of at least one side drawing a blank is significantly higher than the implied 49.8% from these odds. This represents clear value for a bettor looking for a statistically-backed pick. **Summary:** This has all the hallmarks of a gritty, low-event League One battle. While Wycombe may be favoured on the league table, their away scoring woes are profound. Plymouth, despite their recent win over this opponent, are vulnerable at home. The smart money, based on the data, is on at least one team failing to score.

Read Full Preview →