⚽️
Police2-1Calcutta Police
Tue, 3 Mar 2026, 19:45
League One
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

13'
Luke Bolton🔄
Substitution 1 → Will Evans
46'
Harry Gray🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Dru Yearwood🔄
Substitution 1 → Shaun McWilliams
46'
Duncan Watmore🔄
Substitution 2 → Lenny Agbaire
46'
George Abbott🔄
Substitution 2 → Regan Hendry
58'
Elliott Hewitt🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Oliver Irow🔄
Substitution 3 → Tyler Roberts
75'
Zak Jules🟨
Yellow Card
78'
Zak Jules🔄
Substitution 3 → Liam Kelly
87'
Rhys Oates🔄
Substitution 4 → Stephen McLaughlin
87'
Jon Russell🔄
Substitution 5 → Aaron Lewis
89'
Joe Rafferty🔄
Substitution 4 → Brandon Cover
89'
ArJany Martha🔄
Substitution 5 → Gabriele Biancheri

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal3
0Shots off Goal5
6Total Shots13
4Blocked Shots5
2Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox6
10Fouls10
3Corner Kicks6
2Offsides1
45Ball Possession55
2Yellow Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
349Total passes430
238Passes accurate321
68Passes %75

Starting Lineups

RotherhamRotherham1:1

Starting XI

13Ted CannG
6Reece JamesD
44Daniel GoreM
24Harry GrayM
10Sam NombeF
3Zak JulesD
16Dru YearwoodM
20Duncan WatmoreM
15Jamal BaptisteD
11ArJany MarthaM
2Joe RaffertyD

Mansfield TownMansfield Town1:1

Starting XI

1Liam RobertsG
20Frazer Blake-TracyD
25Louis ReedM
44Oliver IrowM
18Rhys OatesF
23Adedeji OshilajaD
40George AbbottM
4Elliott HewittD
13Jon RussellM
7Lucas AkinsD
27Luke BoltonM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Rotherham
Rotherham
Form: W-L-L-L-L
Mansfield Town
Mansfield Town
Form: D-L-L-W-L
Record
3 W
1 D
6 L
2 W
5 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.6
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1526
Average
1468
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1466
↓ Momentum (-61)
1444
↓ Momentum (-23)
Expected Outcome
40%
Home Win
32%
Draw
28%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1473
Attack
1479
1513
Defence
1524
Recent Form
1425
Attack
1455
1503
Defence
1545
Post-Match Changes
-2
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Mansfield's Momentum to Overwhelm Struggling Rotherham
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.70
Expected Value:+29.6%
Confidence:70

The New Year brings no respite for Rotherham as they host a Mansfield Town side riding a wave of confidence in this League One encounter. The data paints a stark picture: one team is in freefall, the other is soaring. Rotherham's form is nothing short of catastrophic. They sit 22nd in the table with just 24 points from 24 games and are currently on a six-match losing streak in the league. Their recent results make for grim reading: a 0-2 home defeat to Peterborough, a 0-4 thrashing at Blackpool, a 1-2 loss at Bolton, a 1-3 home defeat to Huddersfield, a 0-1 loss at Plymouth, and a 0-3 home loss to Blackpool. They've scored a solitary goal in their last five league outings while conceding 12. At home, the numbers are even more alarming, with zero wins from their last four, scoring just 0.5 goals per game and conceding a hefty 2.25. Their performance trends show a declining defence and a points moving average of exactly zero over the last three games. In stark contrast, Mansfield Town have hit a rich vein of form, securing three consecutive league victories against strong opposition. They dismantled third-placed Bradford 3-0 at home, followed that with a hard-fought 1-0 away win at sixth-placed Bolton, and edged a 3-2 thriller at Barnsley. This surge has lifted them to 10th place, eight points clear of their struggling hosts. Their performance trends are all pointing upwards: improving attack, improving defence, and an impressive three-game moving average of 3 points. While their overall away record shows a balanced W3 D3 L3 from their last six, they travel with significant momentum. The head-to-head record offers a glimmer of hope for Rotherham, with three wins from seven encounters. However, the most recent meeting in September 2025 saw Mansfield triumph 2-1, suggesting the balance may have shifted. Statistically, Rotherham averages more shots (10.1 vs 7.6) and possession (43.3% vs 39.6%) but with poor conversion, managing only a 10% clean sheet rate. Mansfield, while less dominant in possession, boasts a 30% clean sheet rate and a more clinical edge in their recent performances. The goal expectancy models suggest Mansfield are the more likely scorers, with an input of 1.62 goals compared to Rotherham's 0.92. **Key Points:** * Rotherham are on a six-game losing streak in League One, scoring once in five games. * Mansfield Town have won three league games in a row, beating top-six sides Bradford and Bolton. * Rotherham's home form is dire: 0 wins, 0.5 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per game in their last four. * Mansfield's performance trends are strongly improving across goals scored, conceded, and points. * The reverse fixture in September 2025 ended in a 2-1 victory for Mansfield Town. * Betting odds of 2.70 for an away win represent significant value given the contrasting trajectories of these two sides. For the betting tipster, this is a classic case of momentum versus misery. While football always holds the potential for a surprise, the data is overwhelmingly in Mansfield's favour. Rotherham's defence is leaking goals at home, and their attack has ground to a halt. Mansfield, meanwhile, are proving they can win tight games and blow teams away. At odds of 2.70, the value on the away win is too compelling to ignore. **Recommended Bet: AWAY_WIN**

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