⚽️
Rio Ave0-1Tondela
Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 15:00
League One
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

4'
Thomas O'Connor🟨
Yellow Card
6'
Malachi Boateng🟨
Yellow Card
23'
Aribim Pepple
Normal Goal → Lorent Tolaj
25'
Thomas O'Connor🔄
Substitution 1 → George Nevett
44'
Lorent Tolaj🟨
Yellow Card
51'
Kyrell Lisbie🟨
Yellow Card
55'
Harry Leonard🟨
Yellow Card
56'
Matthew Garbett🟨
Yellow Card
58'
Peter Kioso🟨
Yellow Card
60'
Jimmy Morgan🔄
Substitution 2 → Oluwalopemiwa Aderoju
67'
Archie Collins🟨
Yellow Card
77'
Brandon Khela🔄
Substitution 3 → Declan Frith
77'
Kyrell Lisbie🔄
Substitution 4 → Cian Hayes
77'
Harry Leonard🔄
Substitution 5 → Donay O'Brien-Brady
85'
Aribim Pepple🔄
Substitution 1 → Caleb Watts
89'
Peter Kioso🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Peter Kioso🟥
Red Card
90'
Mathias Ross🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Lorent Tolaj🔄
Substitution 2 → Kornél Szűcs
90'
Matthew Sorinola🔄
Substitution 3 → Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu
90+5'
Alex Mitchell🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal13
8Total Shots23
1Blocked Shots6
3Shots insidebox19
5Shots outsidebox4
12Fouls21
8Corner Kicks10
1Offsides0
68Ball Possession32
7Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
430Total passes177
349Passes accurate102
81Passes %58

Starting Lineups

PeterboroughPeterborough1:1

Starting XI

1A. BassG
2C. JohnstonD
8B. KhelaM
17K. LisbieM
27H. LeonardF
29T. O'ConnorD
4A. CollinsM
24J. Morgan4:2
12T. LeesD
28M. GarbettM
30P. KiosoD

PlymouthPlymouth1:1

Starting XI

1C. HazardG
22B. GallowayD
29M. SorinolaM
9L. TolajF
15A. MitchellD
32J. RallsM
27A. PeppleF
2M. RossD
19M. BoatengM
8J. EdwardsD
28R. CurtisM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Peterborough
Peterborough
Form: W-L-W-D-W
Plymouth
Plymouth
Form: W-W-D-D-L
Record
6 W
1 D
3 L
6 W
2 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
1.8
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
1.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1544
Average
1583
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1551
↑ Momentum (+7)
1518
↓ Momentum (-65)
Expected Outcome
30%
Home Win
33%
Draw
37%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1525
Attack
1491
1519
Defence
1538
Recent Form
1513
Attack
1457
1542
Defence
1515
Post-Match Changes
-12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Plymouth's Road Show to Test Peterborough's Home Fortress
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+8.6%
Confidence:70

This League One clash at London Road pits a solid Peterborough side against a Plymouth team that has been formidable on their travels. The stats tell a compelling story of two teams in decent form, but with contrasting strengths that could lead to an entertaining encounter. Peterborough sit 10th in the table, just five points ahead of their 16th-placed visitors. Their recent form is respectable, with six wins from their last ten outings across all competitions. At home, they've been particularly reliable, winning three of their last five and conceding just 0.80 goals per game on average. Their 3-1 victory over a strong Bolton side and a 2-1 win against Reading show they can compete with and beat teams in the top half. However, the 5-2 defeat to high-flying Lincoln also exposed a vulnerability against the division's best attacks. Plymouth arrive with an even more impressive recent record, also boasting six wins from ten. The standout statistic is their away form: an 80% win rate from their last five road trips, during which they've averaged a whopping 2.40 goals per game. Their recent away results include a 5-1 demolition of Doncaster and a 1-0 victory at Wycombe. While some of these wins have come against struggling opposition, the sheer volume of goals scored on the road cannot be ignored. They've found the net in nine of their last ten matches, only failing against Bradford. The head-to-head history heavily favours Peterborough, who have won six of the nine meetings, including a 1-0 victory earlier this season. However, Plymouth's current away momentum presents a new challenge. Peterborough's home defensive record (0.80 goals conceded per game) will be sternly tested by a Plymouth attack averaging more than double that output away from home. From a betting perspective, the market has Peterborough as slight favourites at 1.95, reflecting their home advantage and superior league position. The draw is priced at 3.30, with the Plymouth win at 3.50. The goal line is set at 2.5, with Over at 1.80 and Under at 2.00. My analysis zeroes in on the Both Teams to Score market. Peterborough have scored in their last eight league games, demonstrating consistent attacking output. Plymouth have scored in nine of their last ten. Defensively, neither side is watertight; Peterborough keep a clean sheet in 30% of games, Plymouth in 40% away. Given Plymouth's potent away attack (2.40 goals/game) and Peterborough's reliable home scoring (1.40 goals/game), the conditions are ripe for goals at both ends. The 1-0 scoreline in the reverse fixture was an outlier in what looks like a high-potential goal environment this time around. **Key Points:** * Peterborough are strong at home (60% win rate last 5) but concede 0.80 goals per game. * Plymouth are exceptional away (80% win rate last 5) and score 2.40 goals per game on the road. * Both teams have scored in 50% of each side's last ten games. * Peterborough have scored in eight consecutive league matches. * Plymouth have scored in nine of their last ten matches. * The head-to-head record favours Peterborough (6 wins from 9). * Plymouth have had less rest (4 days vs Peterborough's 7). **Summary:** This has all the makings of an open, end-to-end game. While Peterborough's home record and historical dominance are persuasive, Plymouth's explosive away form suggests they will trouble the scoreboard. With both attacks firing and neither defence impregnable, the smart value lies in backing both teams to find the net. The odds of 1.67 offer positive expected value against a probability I estimate at around 65%.

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