⚽️
Defensores de Belgrano VR1-0Alvarado
Tue, 27 Jan 2026, 19:45
League One
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

16'
J. Edwards🟨
Yellow Card
20'
A. Pepple⚽
Normal Goal → B. Wiredu
41'
R. Sweeney⚽
Normal Goal → R. Hendry
46'
L. Bolton🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Hewitt
46'
A. Lewis🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Russell
51'
L. Akins🔄
Substitution 3 → V. Adeboyejo
59'
M. Sorinola🟨
Yellow Card
62'
M. Sorinola🔄
Substitution 1 → X. Amaechi
73'
C. Watts🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Oseni
74'
R. Hendry🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Moriah-Welsh
81'
R. Oates🔄
Substitution 5 → K. Knoyle
86'
A. Oshilaja🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
F. Blake-Tracy🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal3
14Total Shots9
3Blocked Shots3
8Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox3
13Fouls12
6Corner Kicks2
1Offsides1
54Ball Possession46
2Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
333Total passes282
232Passes accurate188
70Passes %67

Starting Lineups

PlymouthPlymouth1:1

Starting XI

21Luca Ashby-HammondG
22Brendan GallowayD
29Matthew SorinolaM
17Caleb WattsF
27Aribim PeppleF
15Alex MitchellD
4Brendan Sarpong-WireduM
2Mathias RossD
19Malachi BoatengM
8Joe EdwardsD
28Ronan CurtisM

Mansfield TownMansfield Town1:1

Starting XI

1Liam RobertsG
6Baily CargillD
20Frazer Blake-TracyM
44Oliver IrowF
18Rhys OatesF
5Ryan SweeneyD
24Regan HendryM
27Luke BoltonF
23Adedeji OshilajaD
8Aaron LewisM
7Lucas AkinsM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Plymouth
Plymouth
Form: W-W-W-W-D
Mansfield Town
Mansfield Town
Form: D-W-W-W-W
Record
7 W
2 D
1 L
•
5 W
3 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.9
Scored
vs
1.7
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
50%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.7
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.2

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Plymouth versus Mansfield Town: long term ELO, before the match
PlymouthHomeRatingMansfield TownAway
Strength
1,571.8Overall1,497.4
1,593.3Match venue1,482.2
1,593.3At home1,492
1,567Away1,482.2
Attack & defence
1,490.6Attack1,505.4
1,566Defence1,511.4
1,488.1Home attack1,519.6
1,524.5Away attack1,477.7
1,579.6Home defence1,520.9
1,549.9Away defence1,488.9
Match profile
1,683.3Goal environment1,565
1,608.3Home goals1,531.7
1,575Away goals1,533.3
1,499Possession1,478.1
Specialist ratings
1,484.8Set-piece attack1,480.7
1,485.1Set-piece defence1,481.7
1,605.7Close games1,451.6
1,558.4Winning margin1,514.3

Match venue compares Plymouth at home with Mansfield Town away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Plymouth's Hot Form Meets Mansfield's Stubborn Defence
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+8.6%
Confidence:65

Tuesday night under the lights at Home Park sees two in-form League One sides clash, with Plymouth hosting Mansfield Town in what promises to be a fascinating tactical battle. The table shows both teams locked on 36 points, but their journeys here have been built on contrasting strengths: Plymouth's attacking verve versus Mansfield's defensive resilience. Plymouth arrive in scintillating form, boasting 7 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss from their last 10 outings. Their recent results tell a story of a team finding its groove, with notable victories including a 1-0 win over a solid Luton side, a hard-fought 1-0 away triumph at Peterborough, and a comprehensive 3-0 demolition of Burton Albion. The 5-1 thrashing of Doncaster on the road showcased their potent attack, which has netted 19 goals in this period. However, that 4-1 home defeat to Reading serves as a reminder of their occasional vulnerability. Mansfield Town, meanwhile, have been the model of consistency. With just 1 defeat in their last 10, they've built their success on a rock-solid defence, keeping 6 clean sheets and conceding only 8 goals. Their results are arguably more impressive when you consider the quality of opposition. A 1-0 away win at promotion-chasing Bolton, a 3-2 victory at Barnsley, and a 3-0 home win against high-flying Bradford demonstrate they can compete with the best. Their 4-3 FA Cup win at Sheffield United, a side in strong form themselves, highlights their attacking threat on their day. The head-to-head history heavily favours Plymouth, who have won 7 of the 9 meetings, including a perfect 4 wins from 4 at Home Park. However, the most recent encounter in October 2025 saw Mansfield triumph 2-0, suggesting the tide may be turning. Statistically, this is a clash of styles. Plymouth averages more shots (13.4 vs 9.88) and enjoys more possession (44.5% vs 37.1%), reflecting their proactive approach. Mansfield, content with less of the ball, boasts superior shot accuracy (40.0% vs 35.9%) and a phenomenal 60% clean sheet rate. Their away form is particularly noteworthy: unbeaten in their last 6 on the road (3 wins, 3 draws). **Key Points:** * Plymouth are in exceptional form with 7 wins from 10, scoring 1.9 goals per game on average. * Mansfield are defensively superb, keeping 6 clean sheets in 10 and conceding just 0.8 goals per game. * Historical dominance lies with Plymouth (7-1-1 H2H), but Mansfield won the last meeting 2-0. * Mansfield are unbeaten in their last 6 away matches across all competitions. * Both teams have shown they can score against quality opposition recently. **Summary & Betting Verdict:** This is a classic clash between an irresistible force and an immovable object. Plymouth's home advantage and formidable form make them favourites, but Mansfield's defensive organisation and impressive away record mean they are no pushovers. The bookmakers' odds of 2.32 for a home win feel about right, offering minimal value. The Under 2.5 goals market is tempting given Mansfield's defensive record, but Plymouth's attacking numbers suggest they can breach any defence. The value, in my analysis, lies with **Both Teams to Score - Yes**. Plymouth scores in 50% of their games, but more importantly, they've found the net against every decent side they've faced recently. Mansfield, while defensively sound, have also shown they can score on the road, netting against Bolton, Barnsley, and Sheffield United. With an implied probability of around 60% at odds of 1.67, I believe the true chance of both teams scoring is closer to 65%, offering positive expected value. I'm backing goals at both ends in what should be a tightly-contested affair.

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