⚽️
Boca Juniors Res.3-0Defensa y Justicia Res.
Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 12:30
League One
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

28'
Emilio Lawrence
Normal Goal
45+2'
Ben Osborn🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Kyle Wootton🔄
Substitution 1 → Adama Sidibeh
50'
Brad Hills🔄
Substitution 2 → Joseph Olowu
62'
Adetayo Edun🟨
Yellow Card
68'
Adetayo Edun🔄
Substitution 3 → Malik Mothersille
71'
Emilio Lawrence🔄
Substitution 1 → Gideon Kodua
72'
Devante Cole🔄
Substitution 2 → Ali Al-Hamadi
72'
Kasey Palmer🔄
Substitution 3 → Davy van den Berg
77'
Ali Al-Hamadi🟨
Yellow Card
78'
Oliver Norwood
Normal Goal
84'
Isaac Olaofe🔄
Substitution 4 → Josh Stokes
85'
Odin Bailey🔄
Substitution 5 → Lewis Bate
88'
Jake Richards🔄
Substitution 4 → Shayden Morris
88'
George Saville🔄
Substitution 5 → Sverre Hakami Sandal

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal3
12Total Shots9
3Blocked Shots4
8Shots insidebox5
4Shots outsidebox4
9Fouls11
8Corner Kicks6
1Offsides0
42Ball Possession58
1Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
321Total passes453
226Passes accurate360
70Passes %79

Starting Lineups

LutonLuton1:1

Starting XI

24Josh KeeleyG
3Kal NaismithD
32Emilio LawrenceM
54Kasey PalmerF
22Devante ColeF
16Hakeem OdofinD
18Jordan ClarkM
27Jake RichardsF
17Nigel Cello LonwijkD
23George SavilleM
25Isaiah JonesM

Stockport CountyStockport County1:1

Starting XI

34Corey AddaiG
15Ethan PyeD
14Adetayo EdunM
23Ben OsbornF
33Brad HillsD
27Odin BaileyM
19Kyle WoottonF
2Josh Dacres-CogleyD
26Oliver NorwoodM
9Isaac OlaofeF
7Jack DiamondM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Luton
Luton
Form: W-W-D-L-W
Stockport County
Stockport County
Form: W-L-W-L-L
Record
4 W
3 D
3 L
5 W
1 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
1.3
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
0%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
90%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.5

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1611
Good
1617
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1610
↓ Momentum (-1)
1639
↑ Momentum (+22)
Expected Outcome
32%
Home Win
35%
Draw
33%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1582
Attack
1536
1532
Defence
1523
Recent Form
1585
Attack
1536
1498
Defence
1462
Post-Match Changes
-3
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Luton vs Stockport County Betting Preview
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+31.3%
Confidence:75

Luton hosts Stockport County in a League One clash on March 21, 2026. The fixture takes place at Luton's home ground with a kickoff set for 12:30. Both teams have played a similar number of games this season, with Luton sitting in 11th place on 54 points and Stockport County in 5th place on 59 points. Luton's defensive record is the most critical factor here. In their last 10 games, Luton has recorded a 0.00% clean sheet rate, meaning they have conceded in every single match. Their average goals conceded per game at home is 1.60, and they average 2.00 goals scored per game at home. This suggests a high probability of goals at both ends. Stockport County, while higher in the standings, has an away goals conceded average of 1.50 per game and an away goals scored average of 1.17. Head-to-head history heavily favors Luton. In the four recorded meetings, Luton has won all four games without conceding a single goal. The most recent meeting in November 2025 ended 3-0 to Luton. However, recent form shows Luton conceding regularly, which overrides the historical clean sheet record in this specific matchup context. Key Points: - Luton has a 0% clean sheet rate in their last 10 games. - Luton averages 2.00 goals scored per game at home. - Stockport County averages 1.17 goals scored per game away. - Head-to-Head: Luton has won all 4 previous meetings. - Goal Expectancy: Combined expected goals (λ) is 3.13 (Home 1.75, Away 1.38). - Market odds for Both Teams to Score - Yes are 1.75. The mathematical analysis indicates a goal expectancy of 3.13, which strongly supports a high-scoring game. Luton's 90% Both Teams to Score percentage in their last 10 games is a robust signal. Given the odds of 1.75 imply a 57% probability, and our analysis suggests a much higher likelihood based on Luton's leaky defense and Stockport's away scoring capability, this presents value. Summary: Both Teams to Score - Yes

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