⚽️
Ulaanbaatar3-0Khangarid
Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 11:30
League One
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

5'
James Morris🟨
Yellow Card
17'
Idris El Mizouni🟨
Yellow Card
18'
J. Moylan
Normal Goal → C. McGrandles
31'
Ben House🟨
Yellow Card
37'
Jack Simpson🟨
Yellow Card
45'
W. Forrester
Own Goal
45+1'
Tendayi Darikwa🟨
Yellow Card
54'
J. Simpson🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Perkins
62'
B. House🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Street
65'
Azeem Abdulai🟨
Yellow Card
71'
D. Ballard
Normal Goal → I. El Mizouni
72'
J. Moylan🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Jefferies
72'
R. One🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Lloyd
85'
R. Hackett-Fairchild🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Elerewe
85'
D. Happe🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Casey
85'
T. Bakinson🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Wellens

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal6
18Total Shots12
6Blocked Shots0
11Shots insidebox6
7Shots outsidebox6
12Fouls11
4Corner Kicks6
2Offsides0
43Ball Possession57
2Yellow Cards4
5Goalkeeper Saves5
310Total passes413
188Passes accurate308
61Passes %75

Starting Lineups

LincolnLincoln1:1

Starting XI

1George WickensG
6Ryley TowlerD
14Conor McGrandlesM
18Ben HouseM
20Ryan OneF
15Sonny BradleyD
8Tom BaylissM
10Jack MoylanM
22Thomas HamerD
7Reeco Hackett-FairchildM
2Tendayi DarikwaD

Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1:1

Starting XI

12Will DennisG
4Jack SimpsonD
3James MorrisM
11Demetri MitchellF
32Dominic BallardF
5Daniel HappeD
8Idris El MizouniM
22Azeem AbdulaiF
6William ForresterD
15Tyreeq BakinsonM
2Thomas JamesM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Lincoln
Lincoln
Form: W-W-W-D-W
Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient
Form: L-D-D-W-W
Record
9 W
1 D
0 L
5 W
2 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
2.4
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
0.4
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
70%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:3.0
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:0.2
Away:0.6
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1644
Good
1519
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1726
↑ Momentum (+81)
1503
↓ Momentum (-16)
Expected Outcome
48%
Home Win
28%
Draw
24%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1578
Attack
1488
1635
Defence
1503
Recent Form
1638
Attack
1487
1665
Defence
1498
Post-Match Changes
+8
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Lincoln vs Leyton Orient - League One Betting Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.50
Expected Value:+20.0%
Confidence:8

Lincoln sits comfortably at the top of the League One table with 90 points from 41 games, while Leyton Orient languishes in 15th place with just 50 points. This 40-point gap highlights the massive disparity in quality between the two sides. For bettors, this fixture presents a clear opportunity, provided the odds offer value. Lincoln's recent form is exceptional. In their last 10 games, they have secured 9 wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.80 points per game. At home, their performance is even more dominant. They have won 100% of their last 5 home games, scoring an average of 3.00 goals per match while conceding only 0.20. Their defensive solidity is a key factor, with a 70% clean sheet rate in their last 10 fixtures. Leyton Orient, conversely, shows inconsistency. Their last 10 games yield 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. While they average 1.50 goals scored per game away, they have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding 1.00 goals per game on the road. Their recent away results include a 1-2 loss to Huddersfield and two 0-0 draws, suggesting they can be difficult to break down but lack the firepower to consistently score. The head-to-head record strongly favors the home side. Lincoln holds a perfect 100% home win rate against Leyton Orient in their last 5 meetings. Historically, Lincoln has won 3 of those matches, while Orient has won 2. The most recent meeting ended 0-1 to Orient, but that was an away fixture for Lincoln. At Sincil Bank, Lincoln is virtually unbeaten against them. Betting markets reflect Lincoln's dominance. The Home Win odds sit at 1.50. While odds below 1.6 are generally risky for long-term profit, the statistical edge here is significant. Lincoln's goal expectancy at home is 2.00, while Orient's away expectancy is 0.85. This suggests a total of 2.85 goals, supporting Over 2.5 Goals at 1.75, but the Home Win remains the most statistically probable outcome given the standings and H2H record. With Lincoln averaging 3.00 home goals and Orient averaging 1.50 away goals, the probability of a Lincoln victory is estimated above 80%, providing a clear edge over the bookmaker's implied probability of 66.7%. **Key Points:** - Lincoln is 1st (90 pts) vs Orient 15th (50 pts). - Lincoln has a 100% home win rate against Orient in H2H. - Lincoln averages 3.00 goals per home game. - Orient averages 1.50 goals per away game. - Lincoln has kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 games. **Verdict:** The data overwhelmingly points to a Lincoln victory. The odds of 1.50 offer value given the high probability of success. **Recommended Bet: Lincoln to Win**.

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