⚽️
Monterrey W1-0América W
Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 20:05
Ligue 1
France
France
Full Time

Match Timeline

28'
K. Kvaratskhelia⚽
Normal Goal → L. Hernandez
39'
S. Mayulu⚽
Normal Goal → J. Neves
46'
D. Cisse🔄
Substitution 1 → Q. Merlin
53'
Jérémy Jacquet🟨
Yellow Card
64'
Lee Kang-In🔄
Substitution 1 → O. Dembele
67'
K. Kvaratskhelia⚽
Normal Goal → S. Mayulu
69'
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal🟨
Yellow Card
71'
Vitinha🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Ruiz
71'
K. Kvaratskhelia🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Ramos
74'
Jérémy Jacquet🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Jérémy Jacquet🟥
Red Card
76'
E. Lepaul🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Rouault
80'
W. Zaire-Emery🔄
Substitution 4 → Q. Ndjantou
80'
J. Neves🔄
Substitution 5 → I. Mbaye
82'
M. Camara🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Blas
82'
M. Tamari🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Legendre
82'
B. Embolo🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Meite
88'
I. Mbaye⚽
Normal Goal → Q. Ndjantou
90'
G. Ramos⚽
Normal Goal → O. Dembele

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal2
20Total Shots6
4Blocked Shots2
14Shots insidebox1
6Shots outsidebox5
9Fouls5
8Corner Kicks6
0Offsides2
66Ball Possession34
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
715Total passes355
658Passes accurate305
92Passes %86
2.23expected_goals0.24
-1goals_prevented-1

Starting Lineups

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1:1

Starting XI

39Matvey SafonovG
21Lucas HernándezD
24Senny MayuluM
7Khvicha KvaratskheliaF
51Willian PachoD
17VitinhaM
19Kang-in LeeF
5MarquinhosD
87João NevesM
29Bradley BarcolaF
33Warren Zaïre-EmeryD

RennesRennes1:1

Starting XI

30Brice SambaG
3Lilian BrassierD
11Mousa TamariM
9Esteban LepaulF
97Jérémy JacquetD
6Djaoui CisséM
7Breel EmboloF
48Abdelhamid Ait BoudlalD
21Valentin RongierM
45Mahdi CamaraM
95Przemysław FrankowskiM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Form: L-W-W-W-L
Rennes
Rennes
Form: W-W-W-W-D
Record
6 W
2 D
2 L
•
4 W
5 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
2.7
Scored
vs
1.9
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.6
Away:2.8
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.2

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Paris Saint Germain versus Rennes: long term ELO, before the match
Paris Saint GermainHomeRatingRennesAway
Strength
1,804.9Overall1,597.5
1,792Match venue1,487.6
1,792At home1,634.3
1,786.5Away1,487.6
Attack & defence
1,677Attack1,558.9
1,644.4Defence1,581.1
1,711.6Home attack1,584
1,664.4Away attack1,502.9
1,618.9Home defence1,623.4
1,650.9Away defence1,516.2
Match profile
2,613.3Goal environment1,675
2,205Home goals1,608.3
1,908.3Away goals1,566.7
1,551.6Possession1,501.4
Specialist ratings
1,557.3Set-piece attack1,508.1
1,555.5Set-piece defence1,507.8
1,644.9Close games1,486.9
1,853.4Winning margin1,634.9

Match venue compares Paris Saint Germain at home with Rennes away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

PSG vs Rennes: Both Teams to Score Value Play
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+8.5%

This Ligue 1 clash between second-placed PSG and fifth-placed Rennes presents an intriguing betting opportunity. While PSG sits higher in the table and boasts a superior head-to-head record, the underlying statistics suggest both teams will find the net. PSG's home form has been explosive offensively, averaging 2.6 goals per game at their home ground, but they've also shown defensive frailties, conceding 1.6 goals per game. Their recent matches highlight this pattern - a 5-3 Champions League win over Tottenham, a 3-3 draw with Strasbourg, and a 3-2 victory at Lyon. In fact, PSG has seen both teams score in 60% of their last 10 matches. Rennes arrives in excellent form, suffering just one defeat in their last 10 games. Their away record is particularly impressive - unbeaten in their last five road trips with two wins and three draws. They've managed to score in 70% of their recent matches while maintaining defensive solidity, conceding only 1.2 goals per game away from home. Recent results like the 4-1 home victory over Monaco and 1-0 away win at Paris FC demonstrate their capability against quality opposition. The head-to-head history heavily favors PSG (5 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses), including a 4-1 victory in their last meeting. However, three of those nine encounters saw both teams score, suggesting Rennes can breach PSG's defense. Statistically, PSG dominates possession (70.2% at home) and creates significantly more chances (24 shots vs Rennes' 9.4 away average), but Rennes has shown they can be clinical with limited opportunities. The combined goal expectancy of 3.5 goals further supports the both teams to score narrative. With PSG's attacking prowess at home combined with their defensive vulnerabilities, and Rennes' solid away form and scoring consistency, the Both Teams to Score market at 1.75 offers excellent value. I estimate the true probability closer to 60-65%, making this a positive expected value play.

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