⚽️
Australia U231-2Korea Republic U23
Fri, 16 Jan 2026, 20:00
Ligue 1
France
France
Full Time

Match Timeline

13'
O. Dembele⚽
Normal Goal → Vitinha
46'
S. Mayulu🔄
Substitution 1 → I. Zabarnyi
62'
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson🟨
Yellow Card
63'
K. Kvaratskhelia🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Barcola
64'
O. Dembele⚽
Normal Goal → D. Doue
76'
O. Dembele🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Ramos
77'
N. Mukau🔄
Substitution 1 → O. Sahraoui
77'
E. Mbappe🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Broholm
77'
O. Giroud🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Diaoune
84'
D. Doue🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Hernandez
87'
T. Santos🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Meunier
90'
H. Haraldsson🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Correia
90'
B. Barcola⚽
Normal Goal

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal2
13Total Shots7
2Blocked Shots1
6Shots insidebox5
7Shots outsidebox2
14Fouls6
4Corner Kicks2
1Offsides3
61Ball Possession39
0Yellow Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
705Total passes436
645Passes accurate369
91Passes %85
1.4expected_goals1.14
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1:1

Starting XI

30Lucas ChevalierG
25Nuno MendesD
8Fabián RuizM
7Khvicha KvaratskheliaF
51Willian PachoD
17VitinhaM
10Ousmane DembéléF
5MarquinhosD
24Senny MayuluM
14Désiré DouéF
33Warren Zaïre-EmeryD

LilleLille1:1

Starting XI

1Berke ÖzerG
15Romain PerraudD
32Ayyoub BouaddiM
10Hakon Arnar HaraldssonF
23Aïssa MandiD
6Nabil BentalebM
9Olivier GiroudF
3Nathan NgoyD
17Ngal'ayel MukauM
8Ethan MbappéF
22Tiago SantosD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Form: L-D-W-W-D
Lille
Lille
Form: L-L-W-W-L
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
•
6 W
0 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
2.2
Scored
vs
1.6
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.5
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:0.8
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.2

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Paris Saint Germain versus Lille: long term ELO, before the match
Paris Saint GermainHomeRatingLilleAway
Strength
1,819.3Overall1,674
1,799.6Match venue1,576.7
1,799.6At home1,723.8
1,789.4Away1,576.7
Attack & defence
1,691.9Attack1,540.4
1,642Defence1,607.4
1,716.4Home attack1,579.3
1,673.7Away attack1,507.7
1,628.2Home defence1,638.9
1,637.7Away defence1,579.9
Match profile
2,631.7Goal environment1,390
2,215Home goals1,491.7
1,916.7Away goals1,398.3
1,556.9Possession1,514.1
Specialist ratings
1,562.4Set-piece attack1,513.3
1,560.6Set-piece defence1,513.2
1,659.5Close games1,643
1,870Winning margin1,678.6

Match venue compares Paris Saint Germain at home with Lille away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

PSG vs Lille: Goals Galore in Historic Rivalry?
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+15.6%
Confidence:75

The Parc des Princes hosts a tantalising Ligue 1 clash as second-placed Paris Saint Germain welcome fourth-placed Lille in a match that promises fireworks based on history alone. With just seven points separating the sides and both harbouring title ambitions, this fixture could be pivotal in the race behind leaders Lens. Analysing the recent form reveals two sides with identical points-per-game records (1.80) over their last ten outings, but with contrasting patterns. PSG's 5-0 demolition of Rennes and 5-3 Champions League thriller against Tottenham show their devastating attacking potential. However, a concerning 0-1 Coupe de France loss to Paris FC and a 2-2 draw with Marseille in the Trophée des Champions highlight a vulnerability that Lille will look to exploit. The Parisians average a formidable 2.20 goals per game but concede 1.10, with their home defence looking particularly leaky at 1.33 goals conceded per match. Lille arrive with a 60% win rate from their last ten, including impressive victories over Marseille (1-0) and a 4-3 shootout at Auxerre. Their recent 1-2 Coupe de France defeat to Lyon and 0-2 league loss to Rennes, however, show they can struggle against top-half opposition. Crucially, they score a respectable 1.60 goals per game on average, managing 1.20 on the road. Their defensive record is solid, conceding 1.20 both home and away, with a 40% clean sheet rate. The head-to-head history is where this preview gets truly fascinating. In the last nine meetings, PSG are undefeated with seven wins and two draws. More remarkably, **both teams have scored in every single one of those nine encounters**, with over 2.5 goals landing in seven of them. The most recent clash ended 1-1 back in October 2025, continuing the pattern. At the Parc des Princes, PSG boast a perfect 100% win record against Lille, but the visitors have always found the net. Statistically, PSG dominates possession (64.2% vs 53.6%) and creates more chances (18.78 shots vs 10.00), but Lille are more clinical with a 41.8% shot accuracy compared to PSG's 37.0%. The visitors also make more saves per game (2.89 vs 2.22), suggesting their goalkeeper is likely to be busy. **Key Points:** - Head-to-head: PSG undefeated in last 9 meetings (7W, 2D) - Both teams scored in ALL 9 previous encounters (100% record) - Over 2.5 goals in 7 of the last 9 meetings - PSG average 2.50 goals per game at home but concede 1.33 - Lille score 1.20 goals per game away from home - PSG's recent form inconsistent (loss to Paris FC, draw with Marseille) - Lille have won 6 of last 10 but lost to Lyon and Rennes recently - Market odds: BTTS Yes at 1.70, Over 2.5 at 1.53, Home Win at 1.42 This fixture's historical pattern is too compelling to ignore. While PSG's home dominance suggests they should claim three points, Lille's consistent ability to score against them—coupled with PSG's defensive vulnerabilities at home—makes 'Both Teams to Score: Yes' the standout betting proposition. The 1.70 odds offer genuine value against a probability we estimate significantly higher, making this a bet with both historical precedent and current statistical support.

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