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Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 19:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

10'
Hiroki Akiyama🟨
Yellow Card
38'
M. Maglica⚽
Own Goal
45'
M. Richter⚽
Normal Goal
48'
I. Lidberg⚽
Normal Goal
54'
A. Muller🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Waschenbach
60'
F. Schleusener⚽
Normal Goal → M. Wanitzek
62'
Marcel Beifus🟨
Yellow Card
63'
M. Maglica⚽
Normal Goal → M. Richter
67'
P. Forster🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Opitz
73'
F. Nurnberger🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Holland
73'
S. Lopez🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Bader
73'
H. Akiyama🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Papela
79'
F. Schleusener🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Simic
79'
D. Burnic🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Laghrissi
82'
M. Richter🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Vukotic
89'
L. Marseiler🔄
Substitution 5 → Y. Furukawa
90+4'
Meiko Wäschenbach🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

10Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal5
25Total Shots10
6Blocked Shots2
18Shots insidebox6
7Shots outsidebox4
6Fouls10
8Corner Kicks9
1Offsides0
58Ball Possession42
1Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves7
478Total passes328
416Passes accurate251
87Passes %77

Starting Lineups

SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 981:1

Starting XI

1Marcel SchuhenG
15Fabian NürnbergerD
16Hiroki AkiyamaM
8Luca MarseilerM
7Isac LidbergF
5Matej MaglicaD
17Kai KlefischM
34Killian CorredorM
6Patric PfeifferD
23Marco RichterM
2Sergio LópezD

Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC1:1

Starting XI

1Hans Christian BernatG
20David HeroldD
10Marvin WanitzekM
11Philipp FörsterF
4Marcel BeifusD
7Dženis BurnićM
24Fabian SchleusenerF
28Marcel FrankeD
16Andreas MüllerM
2Sebastian JungD
36Rafael Pinto PedrosaM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

SV Darmstadt 98
SV Darmstadt 98
Form: L-D-W-W-D
Karlsruher SC
Karlsruher SC
Form: L-L-W-L-W
Record
4 W
4 D
2 L
•
4 W
1 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
1.7
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
2.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.4
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:2.8

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
SV Darmstadt 98 versus Karlsruher SC: long term ELO, before the match
SV Darmstadt 98HomeRatingKarlsruher SCAway
Strength
1,576.7Overall1,546.9
1,620.5Match venue1,478.5
1,620.5At home1,599.3
1,506.9Away1,478.5
Attack & defence
1,509.3Attack1,526.5
1,573.7Defence1,479.3
1,523.9Home attack1,580.5
1,490.4Away attack1,480.7
1,601Home defence1,518.9
1,520.2Away defence1,457.5
Match profile
1,803.3Goal environment1,815
1,648.3Home goals1,701.7
1,655Away goals1,613.3
1,502.6Possession1,498.9
Specialist ratings
1,487.2Set-piece attack1,498.7
1,487.6Set-piece defence1,498.9
1,518.7Close games1,577.1
1,596.4Winning margin1,531.2

Match venue compares SV Darmstadt 98 at home with Karlsruher SC away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Darmstadt's Home Fortress vs Karlsruher's Travel Woes
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.65
Expected Value:+7.2%

This Saturday evening clash pits 5th-placed SV Darmstadt 98 against 8th-placed Karlsruher SC in what shapes up to be a classic tale of home strength versus away weakness. The data paints a clear picture of why Darmstadt enters as firm favorites. Darmstadt has been impressive at home this season, boasting a 60% win rate on their own patch and averaging 2.40 goals per game. More importantly, their defensive record at home is stellar - conceding just 0.80 goals per game. Recent home performances include a stunning 4-0 DFB Pokal victory over Schalke and a 4-2 league win against Greuther Fürth. While they did suffer a recent 2-0 loss to Freiburg in the cup, their league form remains solid with just 2 defeats in 14 matches. Karlsruher's away form tells a completely different story. They've managed only a 20% win rate on the road and are leaking goals at an alarming rate - 2.80 per game away from home. Their recent travels have been particularly brutal, with heavy defeats including a 3-0 loss at Hannover and a 4-0 thrashing at Arminia Bielefeld. While they did show flashes of quality with a 2-1 home win over Schalke, their inability to defend on the road is a major concern. The head-to-head record further favors Darmstadt, who won the last meeting 3-0 and have a 50% home win rate against Karlsruher. With 7 out of 9 previous encounters featuring over 2.5 goals, we could be in for an entertaining affair, but the smart money points firmly towards a home victory. Key Points: - Darmstadt's home form: 60% win rate, 2.40 goals scored per game, 0.80 conceded - Karlsruher's away struggles: 20% win rate, 2.80 goals conceded per game - Recent form heavily favors Darmstadt - Head-to-head: Darmstadt won last meeting 3-0 - Goal expectancy suggests potential for goals but home win looks most likely The value lies firmly with the home side here. Darmstadt's defensive solidity at home combined with Karlsruher's defensive fragility away creates a perfect storm for a home victory. The odds of 1.65 offer excellent value given the statistical advantages.

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