Match Timeline
L. Mafouta⚽
D. Durand⚽J. Ikanga⚽R. Hachem⚽Jérémie Matumona🟨Kevin Cabral🟨S. Kielt🔄D. Louiserre🔄F. Mbemba🔄D. Sylla🔄K. Cabral🔄L. MafoutaG. Poussin🔄T. Ahile🔄A. Sagna🔄D. Durand🔄R. Hachem🔄Bradley Danger🟨Match Statistics
Starting Lineups
RED Star FC 931:1
Starting XI
Guingamp1:1
Starting XI
Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 RED Star FC 93Home | Rating |  GuingampAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,533.4 | Overall | 1,491.5 |
| 1,497.6 | Match venue | 1,509 |
| 1,497.6 | At home | 1,514.1 |
| 1,485.9 | Away | 1,509 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,456 | Attack | 1,479.8 |
| 1,539 | Defence | 1,529 |
| 1,428.8 | Home attack | 1,489.2 |
| 1,448.8 | Away attack | 1,498.7 |
| 1,501.8 | Home defence | 1,543.1 |
| 1,545 | Away defence | 1,515.8 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,403.3 | Goal environment | 1,516.7 |
| 1,498.3 | Home goals | 1,543.3 |
| 1,405 | Away goals | 1,473.3 |
| 1,522 | Possession | 1,526.2 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,544.1 | Set-piece attack | 1,524.8 |
| 1,542.5 | Set-piece defence | 1,524.4 |
| 1,545 | Close games | 1,498 |
| 1,529.9 | Winning margin | 1,488.5 |
Match venue compares RED Star FC 93 at home with Guingamp away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
📝 Match Preview
The upcoming Ligue 2 fixture between RED Star FC 93 and Guingamp on 2026-04-24 offers a compelling betting opportunity driven by form, league position, and head-to-head dominance. RED Star FC 93 currently sits 5th in the table with 51 points, while Guingamp trails in 11th place with 40 points. This 11-point gap reflects a clear difference in team strength and consistency. Recent form analysis reinforces this disparity. In their last 6 home games, RED Star FC 93 has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded per match. Their home win rate stands at 50%. Conversely, Guingamp has struggled significantly on the road. In their last 5 away games, they have failed to secure a single victory (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Their away goal output is low at 0.80 goals per game, and they concede 1.20 goals per game. This defensive vulnerability away from home is a key factor. Head-to-head history is decisive. RED Star FC 93 has won all three previous meetings, including a 4-0 victory in the most recent encounter. This perfect record, combined with their higher league standing, strongly suggests a home win. The goal expectancy model indicates a total of 2.16 goals, which leans towards Under 2.5, but the home win market offers a more robust signal given the H2H dominance. The odds for a RED Star FC 93 victory are set at 1.83, implying a probability of roughly 54.6%. Given the team's home form, league position, and perfect H2H record, a true win probability of around 65% is well-supported by the data. This creates a significant edge exceeding the required 6% threshold for value betting. While goal expectancy models suggest a total of 2.16 goals, leaning towards Under 2.5, the home win market offers a more robust signal. Guingamp's inability to win away and RED Star's consistent home performance make the home win the most logical selection. Key Points: - RED Star FC 93 dominates H2H (3 wins in 3 meetings). - Guingamp has 0 wins in last 5 away games. - RED Star FC 93 is 5th in Ligue 2; Guingamp is 11th. - Odds of 1.83 offer value given the form gap. Recommendation: Home Win.
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