Match Timeline
J. Stefanon⚽
M. Oberwinkler🔄P. Offenthaler🔄N. Pertlwieser🔄J. Stefanon🔄D. Otugo🔄B. Pursall🟨J. Tartarotti⚽M. Gragger⚽Y. Eisschill🔄N. Rossi⚽L. Nussbaumer🔄I. Vojic🔄T. Mayer🔄D. Peham⚽B. Lendambi🔄Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 SKU AmstettenHome | Rating |  Schwarz-Weiß BregenzAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,538.6 | Overall | 1,341 |
| 1,511.6 | Match venue | 1,372.6 |
| 1,511.6 | At home | 1,451.8 |
| 1,485.8 | Away | 1,372.6 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,495.3 | Attack | 1,467.1 |
| 1,545.5 | Defence | 1,382.5 |
| 1,489.3 | Home attack | 1,466.8 |
| 1,488.3 | Away attack | 1,484.1 |
| 1,541.9 | Home defence | 1,458.9 |
| 1,506 | Away defence | 1,388.1 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,930 | Goal environment | 1,681.7 |
| 1,695 | Home goals | 1,570 |
| 1,735 | Away goals | 1,611.7 |
| 1,500 | Possession | 1,500 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,500 | Set-piece attack | 1,500 |
| 1,500 | Set-piece defence | 1,500 |
| 1,503.2 | Close games | 1,432.7 |
| 1,539.5 | Winning margin | 1,319.5 |
Match venue compares SKU Amstetten at home with Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
📝 Match Preview
The 2. Liga fixture between SKU Amstetten and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz presents a clear contrast in league standing and recent form. SKU Amstetten sits comfortably in 4th place with 40 points from 23 games, averaging 1.40 points per game. In stark contrast, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz languishes in 15th place with just 12 points from 22 games, averaging only 0.80 points per game. This significant gap in the table suggests Amstetten holds a distinct advantage. Examining recent form, Amstetten has been resilient, securing 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10 matches. Their home performance shows a 20% win rate in their last 5 home games, though they have drawn 60% of those matches. However, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz's away form is alarming. In their last 3 away games, they have not secured a single win, with a 0% win rate and an average of 2.67 goals conceded per game on the road. This defensive vulnerability away from home is a key factor. Head-to-head history adds another layer of context. While Bregenz has historically won 3 of the last 5 meetings, the most recent encounter on 2025-10-18 ended in a 2-0 victory for Amstetten. This recent result, combined with Bregenz's poor away record, tilts the momentum towards the home side. Goal expectancy models suggest a total of 3.16 goals for the match (Home 1.83, Away 1.33), indicating a likely high-scoring affair, but the primary signal remains the win probability. Bregenz's inability to win away games (0% win rate in last 3 away fixtures) combined with Amstetten's superior league position makes the Home Win the most logical selection. The odds of 1.70 imply a 58.8% probability, but given the standings gap and Bregenz's away struggles, the true probability is likely higher, offering value. Amstetten's recent clean sheet rate is 30%, but their defense is trending improved, which should help contain Bregenz's attack. With Bregenz conceding nearly 2.7 goals per game away, Amstetten should find the net. Key Points: - SKU Amstetten is 4th (40 pts) vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 15th (12 pts). - Bregenz has 0% win rate in last 3 away games. - Amstetten won the last H2H meeting 2-0. - Goal expectancy suggests 3.16 total goals. - Amstetten's home defense is improving. **Recommendation:** Home Win at 1.70 odds.
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