This Sunday's clash at La Romareda pits two sides struggling at opposite ends of the Segunda División table, with bottom-placed Zaragoza hosting a Leganes team hovering just above the relegation zone. The data paints a clear picture of why the visitors should hold the upper hand despite being on the road. Zaragoza's home form has been nothing short of disastrous this season. They've managed just one win in their last four home matches, scoring a paltry 0.25 goals per game while conceding 2.0 goals per game at their own stadium. Their recent home results include a humiliating 0-5 thrashing by Cultural Leonesa and a 0-2 defeat against high-flying Deportivo La Coruna. While they've shown some signs of life with back-to-back away wins against Eibar (1-2) and Huesca (1-0), their home fortress has become a house of horrors. In stark contrast, Leganes has discovered their traveling boots. Their away form reads impressively with a 50% win rate on the road, averaging 1.5 goals scored while keeping things tight at the back with just 0.83 goals conceded per away game. Recent away victories include a solid 1-2 win at AD Ceuta FC and another 1-2 success at FC Andorra. They've also kept three clean sheets in their last ten matches, showing defensive resilience that Zaragoza desperately lacks. The statistical advantages favor Leganes across the board. They average 12.78 shots per game compared to Zaragoza's 9.89, with nearly double the shots on target (4.89 vs 2.44). Their possession numbers are superior (52.9% vs 47.0%), and they've demonstrated better overall control in matches. The head-to-head record also backs Leganes, who have won 5 of the 8 meetings between these sides. While Zaragoza's recent wins suggest they might be turning a corner, those victories came on the road. At home, they remain a shadow of themselves, struggling to create chances and vulnerable defensively. Leganes, despite their own inconsistencies, have proven they can get results away from home and should have enough quality to exploit Zaragoza's home frailties. The goal expectancy data heavily favors Leganes (1.75 vs 0.54), indicating this should be a comfortable away victory rather than a tight contest. Given Zaragoza's scoring drought at home and Leganes' decent away record, the visitors appear well-positioned to secure three valuable points in their battle against relegation. Key Points: • Zaragoza has terrible home form: 25% win rate, 0.25 goals scored per game • Leganes boasts strong away form: 50% win rate, 1.5 goals scored per game • Head-to-head record favors Leganes (5 wins to 2 in 8 meetings) • Leganes averages more shots (12.78 vs 9.89) and shots on target (4.89 vs 2.44) • Goal expectancy heavily favors Leganes (1.75 vs 0.54) Summary: The data strongly points toward a Leganes victory. Zaragoza's home struggles are well-documented, while Leganes has found their form on the road. The away win odds of 2.80 offer excellent value given the statistical advantages and recent form patterns.