Deportivo La Coruna welcome Granada CF to Riazor this Sunday evening with the home side firmly entrenched in the promotion battle while their visitors flirt dangerously with the relegation zone. With 17 points separating these sides in the Segunda División table, the gulf in class and current form is stark, making the home win look particularly appetising at the current odds. Deportivo come into this fixture sitting pretty in 4th place with 49 points from 28 matches, level on points with Almeria and Castellón as the race for automatic promotion heats up. Their recent form has been solid if unspectacular, picking up 1.70 points per game across their last ten outings. The 3-2 victory away at Real Sociedad II last weekend showcased their attacking capabilities, while the preceding 1-0 home win against Eibar demonstrated they can grind out results against organised opposition. What's particularly impressive is their away form (60% win rate in last 5), though their home record (40% win rate) suggests they can be vulnerable on their own patch. However, wins against Albacete (2-1) and Eibar (1-0) in their last two home league games indicate they're finding their rhythm at Riazor. Granada, languishing in 17th place with just 32 points, are in a very different headspace. Their last ten games have yielded a paltry 1.10 points per game, and their away form makes for particularly grim reading with a 75% loss rate across their last four road trips. While the 5-1 demolition of Valladolid at home showed they possess attacking firepower, that result looks increasingly like an outlier when contrasted with their other recent results: defeats at AD Ceuta (1-2), at Leganes (0-1), and a home loss to Malaga (0-1) last time out. Conceding 1.75 goals per game away from home against a side of Deportivo's quality is a recipe for trouble. The head-to-head record offers Granada some hope, with Deportivo managing just a 25% win rate at home against them historically (1W-1D-2L). However, that record feels less relevant given the current trajectory of both clubs. The reverse fixture in August ended 3-1 to Granada, but Deportivo have evolved significantly since then while Granada have stagnated. The goal expectancies (Home 1.38, Away 1.12) suggest a tight game, but Granada's defensive frailties on the road combined with Deportivo's need to keep pace with the promotion pack should see the hosts create plenty of chances. **Key Points:** - Deportivo are 17 points ahead of Granada in the table with significantly better recent form (1.70 vs 1.10 PPG) - Granada have lost 75% of their last 4 away games, conceding 1.75 goals per game on the road - Deportivo have won their last 2 home league games (1-0 vs Eibar, 2-1 vs Albacete) - Despite poor historical H2H home record (25% win rate), current form and quality gap favour the hosts - Both teams are well rested with 7-8 days since their last fixtures **Summary:** The 1.80 on offer for a Deportivo win represents solid value. While their home form hasn't been spectacular this season, they face a Granada side that simply cannot buy a result away from home. With promotion incentives driving the hosts and relegation fears gripping the visitors, expect Deportivo to control proceedings and secure the three points.