Eibar host Cordoba in a pivotal Segunda División encounter on May 24, 2026, with both clubs pushing for playoff contention. Eibar currently sit in 8th place with 64 points, while Cordoba trail closely in 9th on 60 points. The data strongly points towards a home victory for the Basque side, backed by a combination of superior home form, historical dominance, and favorable statistical projections. Eibar have been exceptionally strong at the Mendizorroza Stadium, winning 75% of their last 10 home matches. They are averaging 2.50 goals scored per home game, supported by a 48.3% shot accuracy rate and 12.00 shots per match at home. Defensively, they concede 1.50 goals per home game, maintaining a 60% clean sheet rate in their last 10 overall. Their recent form shows a 7-1-2 record in the last 10, accumulating 2.20 points per game. Cordoba arrive with a solid 6-1-3 record in their last 10 matches, translating to 1.90 points per game. On the road, they have won 60% of their last 5 away fixtures, scoring 1.40 goals per game. However, their away defensive record is less robust, conceding an average of 1.80 goals per away match. While their overall scoring trend has been stable, the 3-game moving average for goals scored sits at 1.33, indicating a slight recent dip in attacking output. Head-to-head history provides the strongest signal for this fixture. Eibar hold a perfect 2-0-0 record against Cordoba at home, winning 100% of their home meetings. The last encounter ended 0-0, but prior to that, Eibar delivered a commanding 4-1 victory at home. The historical pattern, combined with Eibar's current home fortress status, heavily favors the hosts. Mathematical models project a combined goal expectancy of 3.60 for this match (Eibar 2.15, Cordoba 1.45). While the expected goals suggest an open contest, Eibar's home attacking metrics and Cordoba's slight away scoring decline create a clear edge for the home side. The home win is available at 1.75, which aligns well with the estimated fair probability derived from their home win rate and H2H dominance. Key Points: - Eibar have won 75% of their last 10 home matches, averaging 2.50 goals per game. - Cordoba have a 60% away win rate but concede 1.80 goals per away game. - Eibar hold a perfect 2-0-0 head-to-head record against Cordoba at home. - Expected goals total is projected at 3.60, with Eibar expected to score 2.15. - The home win at 1.75 offers strong value based on historical and current home form. Our pick is the Home Win.