This Sunday brings us a crucial relegation six-pointer between the two worst teams in the Süper Lig. Genclerbirligi sits 17th with 11 points, while Fatih Karagümrük anchors the table with just 8 points. Both sides desperately need points to climb away from danger, and the data suggests we're in for an entertaining, goal-filled affair. Genclerbirligi's recent form shows a team capable of mixing it up. They've got some impressive results on their ledger, including that stunning 5-0 cup victory over Sakaryaspor and a fantastic 2-1 win at Beşiktaş. However, consistency has been their downfall - they followed up the Beşiktaş win with losses to Göztepe and Konyaspor. At home, they've been decent with a 50% win rate in their last four home games, averaging 1.5 goals scored while conceding 1.25. Fatih Karagümrük arrive in Ankara having shown some signs of life recently. They've scored 16 goals in their last 10 matches (1.60 per game) and actually average more goals away from home (1.80) than at their own ground. Their defensive record remains concerning though - they're shipping 1.90 goals per game overall and 1.80 on the road. Recent results include a 5-2 cup win and a solid 2-0 league victory over Konyaspor, showing they can still be dangerous. The head-to-head record slightly favors Fatih Karagümrük with 2 wins to Genclerbirligi's 1, and the visitors have averaged 2 goals per game in this fixture. However, the most recent meeting ended 0-0. Looking at the attacking numbers, both teams are averaging 1.60 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches. Genclerbirligi has seen both teams score in 60% of their recent games, while Fatih Karagümrük has the exact same 60% BTTS rate. The goal expectancy model projects 1.65 goals for the home side and 1.52 for the visitors, suggesting plenty of goalmouth action. With both teams fighting for their lives at the bottom, we can expect an open game where defensive solidity takes a backseat to attacking ambition. Neither side can afford to sit back and settle for a point, which should create space and opportunities. Key Points: • Both teams are averaging 1.60 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches • Both Teams To Score has landed in 60% of recent games for both sides • Fatih Karagümrük averages 1.80 goals scored away from home • Genclerbirligi has a 50% home win rate in their last 4 home games • Goal expectancy projects over 3 goals in total (1.65 + 1.52) • Both teams are in the bottom two and desperately need points Given the attacking numbers from both sides and the desperation factor in this relegation battle, I'm backing goals. Both teams have shown they can find the net consistently, and the defensive vulnerabilities suggest we'll see plenty of action at both ends. The odds of 1.83 for both teams to score represent good value in what should be an open, end-to-end encounter.