⚽️
Tabora United1-0Coastal Union
Fri, 12 Dec 2025, 17:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

33'
Pedro Pereira🟨
Yellow Card
65'
S. Koita🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Varesanovic
71'
Y. Barasi🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Fall
74'
J. Espinoza🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Winck
76'
G. Gurpuz🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Onur
77'
Tom Dele-Bashiru🟨
Yellow Card
81'
Mortadha Ben Ouanes🟨
Yellow Card
81'
M'Baye Niang🟨
Yellow Card
86'
Andri Baldursson🟨
Yellow Card
87'
F. Diabate🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Kol
90+2'
M. Mimaroglu🔄
Substitution 3 → H. Onyekuru

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal3
10Total Shots6
1Blocked Shots2
5Shots insidebox4
5Shots outsidebox2
12Fouls16
3Corner Kicks2
2Offsides3
49Ball Possession51
2Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
390Total passes411
305Passes accurate335
78Passes %82
0.69expected_goals0.4
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

KasımpaşaKasımpaşa1:1

Starting XI

1Andreas GianniotisG
21Godfried FrimpongD
16Andri BaldurssonM
9Yusuf BarasıM
77Pape Habib GueyeF
4Adem ArousD
6Cem ÜstündagM
34Fousseni DiabatéM
20Nicholas OpokuD
12Mortadha Ben OuanesM
14Jhon EspinozaD

Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.1:1

Starting XI

24Ricardo VelhoG
2Thalisson KelvenD
15Tom Dele-BashiruM
10Metehan MimaroğluM
29M'Baye NiangF
4Žan ŽužekD
70Franco TongyaM
6Dimitris GoutasD
11Göktan GürpüzM
13Pedro PereiraD
22Sekou KoitaM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
Form: D-L-W-L-L
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Form: W-W-L-L-W
Record
2 W
3 D
5 L
4 W
2 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.0
Scored
vs
1.8
Scored
1.7
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:1.7
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.7
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1496
Average
1511
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1460
↓ Momentum (-36)
1541
↑ Momentum (+30)
Expected Outcome
32%
Home Win
34%
Draw
34%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1536
Attack
1478
1516
Defence
1500
Recent Form
1516
Attack
1526
1520
Defence
1527
Post-Match Changes
-4
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Bottom-Of-The-Table Battle With Goal Expectancy
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+17.0%

This Süper Lig clash between two relegation-threatened sides promises more goals than the table positions might suggest. Kasımpaşa enter this fixture in dreadful home form, having failed to win any of their last four matches at their own ground (0W-2D-2L) while scoring just 0.75 goals per game at home. Their recent defensive record is alarming, conceding 1.75 goals per home game and keeping only one clean sheet in their last ten matches overall. Genclerbirligi, despite sitting just one place above their hosts, have shown significantly better form recently. They've averaged 1.40 points per game over their last ten matches compared to Kasımpaşa's paltry 0.90. More importantly for our analysis, they've been scoring freely with 1.8 goals per game, including impressive recent victories like the 3-0 demolition of Fatih Karagümrük and a 5-0 cup triumph. Their away form shows they can find the net on the road too, averaging 1.67 goals per away game. The head-to-head record historically favors Kasımpaşa at home (3W-0D-1L), but current form tells a different story. Kasımpaşa have both teams scoring in 70% of their recent matches, while Genclerbirligi sit at 60%. Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities - Kasımpaşa concede 1.7 goals per game overall, while Genclerbirligi let in 1.2 per game. Looking at the statistical trends, Genclerbirligi show improving momentum across goals scored, goals conceded, and points accumulated, with trend confidence at 26.67% compared to Kasımpaşa's concerning 13.33%. The goal expectancy model also favors the visitors (0.96 vs 1.71), suggesting we should see goals from both sides given Kasımpaşa's porous home defense and Genclerbirligi's potent away attack. Key Points: - Kasımpaşa have 0% home win rate in last 4 matches - Genclerbirligi averaging 1.8 goals per game vs Kasımpaşa's 1.0 - Both teams have BTTS rates above 60% in recent matches - Kasımpaşa concede 1.75 goals per home game - Genclerbirligi score 1.67 goals per away game - Historical H2H low-scoring but current form suggests otherwise With both teams desperate for points and possessing leaky defenses but capable attacks, the both teams to score market offers excellent value at 1.80. The statistics strongly indicate both sides will find the net in this crucial bottom-of-the-table encounter.

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