When the Süper Lig's fifth-placed side travels to face a team battling relegation, the stats scream one thing: goals. Beşiktaş arrive at Eyüpspor's ground in imperious form, unbeaten in their last ten outings across all competitions, while the hosts are languishing in 17th, having failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last ten matches. The historical data and current trajectories point towards an entertaining, high-scoring affair. Eyüpspor's primary issue is a porous defence. Conceding 15 goals in their last ten games is bad enough, but the nature of those concessions is telling. They shipped three at home to league leaders Fenerbahçe and another three away at Rizespor. Their 0% clean sheet rate over this period is a glaring red flag. However, they are not toothless in attack, especially at home, where they average a respectable 2.00 goals per game. Recent results like the 2-1 win over Gazişehir Gaziantep and the 6-1 cup thrashing of Çankaya FK show they can find the net. The problem is they can't stop the opposition from doing the same. Beşiktaş, in contrast, are a model of consistency and attacking threat. With 7 wins and 3 draws from their last 10, they are collecting points at a rate of 2.40 per game. Their 2-1 Turkish Cup victory away at Fenerbahçe and a thrilling 3-3 draw at Trabzonspor highlight their ability to compete with and hurt the very best. Their away form is particularly fearsome, boasting a 75% win rate and scoring 2.50 goals per game on the road. While their defence is generally solid (0.90 goals conceded per game on average), they have shown vulnerability in away fixtures, conceding three at Trabzonspor and one each at Fenerbahçe and Antalyaspor. The head-to-head record is brutally one-sided and incredibly revealing. Beşiktaş have won all five previous meetings, but more importantly, **every single one of those matches featured over 2.5 goals**. The aggregate score reads 14-5 in Beşiktaş's favour, with an average of 3.8 goals per game. This historical trend aligns perfectly with the current attacking profiles of both teams and the defensive frailties of the hosts. From a betting perspective, the market has Beşiktaş as strong favourites at 1.42, which is fair but offers limited value given the near-certainty priced in. The more compelling angle lies in the goal markets. The odds of 1.67 for Over 2.5 goals present a significant opportunity. The statistical case is robust: Eyüpspor's home games average 3.40 total goals (2.00 scored, 1.40 conceded), while Beşiktaş's away games average 3.75 goals (2.50 scored, 1.25 conceded). Combine these with the 100% Over 2.5 record in this fixture and Eyüpspor's inability to keep a clean sheet, and the probability of another high-scoring game is substantially higher than the implied odds of 59.9%. **Key Points:** * Beşiktaş are unbeaten in 10 matches (W7, D3), scoring 20 goals in that run. * Eyüpspor have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 games. * All 5 historical meetings between these sides have ended with Over 2.5 goals. * Eyüpspor average 2.00 goals scored per home game but concede 1.40. * Beşiktaş average 2.50 goals scored per away game. * The Poisson goal expectancy model predicts approximately 3.57 total goals. **Summary:** While a Beşiktaş victory is the most likely outcome, the real value for bettors lies in backing the goal count. The combination of Beşiktaş's potent attack, Eyüpspor's leaky defence yet capable home scoring, and a perfect historical trend makes **Over 2.5 Goals** the standout betting recommendation for this fixture.