⚽️
Naples0-4Charlotte Independence
Sat, 28 Mar 2026, 14:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

49'
J. Palmer
Normal Goal
51'
D. Warren
Normal Goal
74'
J. R. Roberts
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Airbus UK
Airbus UK
Form: L-W-W-W-W
Guilsfield
Guilsfield
Form: L-D-L-L-L
Record
9 W
0 D
1 L
2 W
1 D
7 L
Goals Per Game
3.5
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
0.6
Conceded
vs
1.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
60%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:4.3
Away:3.0
Conceded
Home:0.3
Away:0.8
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1753
Good
1576
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1839
↑ Momentum (+85)
1613
↑ Momentum (+36)
Expected Outcome
55%
Home Win
25%
Draw
20%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1713
Attack
1571
1705
Defence
1551
Recent Form
1765
Attack
1590
1724
Defence
1554
Post-Match Changes
+5
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Airbus UK vs Guilsfield - FAW Championship Betting Preview & Tips
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.20
Expected Value:+5.6%
Confidence:85

This FAW Championship fixture presents a stark contrast in form and quality. Airbus UK sit comfortably in 2nd place with 66 points, while Guilsfield are 7th with just 34 points—a 32-point gap that tells the story. Airbus UK's recent form is nothing short of dominant. They have won 9 of their last 10 games, scoring 35 goals (3.5 per game) while conceding just 6 (0.6 per game). Their home record is particularly impressive: 100% win rate in their last 4 home games, averaging 4.25 goals scored and only 0.25 conceded per game. Recent results include an 8-0 thrashing of Mold Alexandra and a 5-0 victory over Brickfield Rangers. Guilsfield, meanwhile, are struggling. They have won just 2 of their last 10 games, and their away form is dire—they have won 0 of their last 5 away games, averaging just 0.6 goals scored per game. They've conceded 18 goals in their last 10 matches. The head-to-head record is one-sided. Airbus UK are unbeaten in all 9 meetings, with 5 wins and 4 draws. The last meeting ended 4-1 to Airbus UK. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 6 of those 9 matches. Goal expectancy analysis predicts 3.02 goals for Airbus UK and 0.42 for Guilsfield, totaling 3.44 expected goals. This strongly supports both a home win and Over 2.5 Goals, though the latter offers limited value at 1.36. The home win at 1.20 implies 83.3% probability, but I assess the true probability at 85-90%. This provides positive expected value and represents a high-confidence selection. The combination of superior form, home dominance, head-to-head superiority, and a massive quality gap makes this the clear play. **Recommended Bet: Home Win (Airbus UK) @ 1.20**

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