Friday night in the Segunda Liga sees fourth-placed Sporting CP B host mid-table Chaves in a fixture that looks lopsided on paper despite both sides enduring rough patches recently. With the hosts trading at 2.67, there's genuine value to be found in backing the home side to bounce back from their three-game skid. Sporting CP B occupy the final promotion playoff spot with 38 points from 25 games, boasting a respectable 12-2-11 record. While their overall form reads poorly (seven defeats in ten), the devil is in the details. At home, they've won 50% of their last four fixtures, averaging 1.75 goals per game. Their 4-3 thriller against Portimonense and 2-0 dispatch of Oliveirense showcase their attacking potency on familiar turf, even if they did slip up 1-0 to Leixoes last time out at home. Chaves, meanwhile, sit tenth with 33 points and arrive fresh from a confidence-boosting 1-0 victory over second-placed Academico Viseu. However, that win masks a dreadful away record that makes them prime candidates for a road defeat. The visitors have lost their last four away games without scoring in three of them (defeats at Feirense, Felgueiras and Benfica B), managing just 0.50 goals per game on their travels. Their 3-2 loss at Vizela showed they can find the net occasionally, but their overall away output is anaemic. The goal expectancy data paints a clear picture: the hosts are expected to generate significantly more attacking threat (1.62 vs 1.00). Chaves have failed to score in seven of their last ten matches overall, and against a Sporting side that keeps the occasional clean sheet at home (two in last ten overall), the visitors' struggles in front of goal should continue. **Key Points:** • Sporting CP B have won 50% of their last four home games, scoring 1.75 goals per game on average • Chaves have lost 100% of their last four away games, scoring just 0.50 goals per game on the road • The hosts sit fourth in the table, five points and seven places above Chaves • Both teams have lost seven of their last ten matches, but venue splits heavily favour the home side • The only previous meeting this season ended 0-0, suggesting defensive organisation but current form favours the hosts The 2.67 on offer for a home win looks generous given the stark contrast in home and away performances. While Sporting's three-game losing streak (including cup competition) might put some punters off, two of those defeats came on the road against tough opposition (Maritimo and Lusitânia Lourosa). Back in their own backyard against a Chaves side that can't buy an away goal, the value lies with the hosts. **Recommended Bet: Sporting CP B to Win at 2.67.**