The Segunda Liga continues with Feirense hosting Sporting CP B on Sunday, March 22, 2026. Both teams occupy the middle tier of the standings, with Sporting CP B sitting 7th (38 points) and Feirense in 10th (35 points). However, recent form suggests a shift in momentum favoring the hosts. Feirense have been resilient at home, remaining unbeaten in their last five home matches. The data indicates a 60% home win rate over that sample, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and only 0.4 goals conceded per game. Their defense has been particularly solid, recording four clean sheets in their last ten games. Recent results show a 1-0 victory over Penafiel and a 1-0 win against Chaves at home, highlighting their defensive stability on their own turf. Conversely, Sporting CP B is struggling on the road. In their last five away games, they have won only one match, resulting in an 80% loss rate. Their away defensive record is concerning, conceding 1.6 goals per game on the road. Recent away results include losses to Chaves (0-1), Lusitânia (0-1), Leixoes (0-1), and Maritimo (0-1). While they managed a 4-3 victory against Portimonense, their consistency is lacking. Head-to-head history shows only one previous meeting, where Sporting CP B won 3-2, but that was a high-scoring affair. Given Feirense's defensive record at home (0.4 conceded/game) and Sporting CP B's tendency to concede heavily away (1.6/game), a Feirense victory appears statistically probable. The odds for a Home Win sit at 2.35, implying a 42.5% probability. Based on the 60% home win rate from the last five games, this offers significant value. The goal expectancy inputs suggest a total of 2.10 goals, which leans towards Under 2.5, but the odds (1.67) imply a higher probability (59.9%) than the fair estimate (56.28%), making it a less attractive option compared to the Home Win. **Key Points:** - Feirense Home Win Rate: 60% (Last 5 games) - Sporting CP B Away Win Rate: 20% (Last 5 games) - Feirense Home Goals Conceded: 0.40/game - Sporting CP B Away Goals Conceded: 1.60/game - H2H: Sporting CP B won 3-2 previously - Home Win Odds: 2.35 **Prediction:** Feirense is the strong favorite at home given the form split. The value lies in the Home Win market.