🟨
APIA Leichhardt Tigers1-0Peninsula Power
Sat, 15 Nov 2025, 15:03
Full Time

Match Timeline

20'
M. Rush
Normal Goal → J. King
28'
J. King🟨
Yellow Card
29'
B. Milnes
Penalty
52'
B. Milnes🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Tonks
63'
J. King🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Coxe
63'
J. Newton🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Ilesanmi
66'
C. Cockerill-Mollett🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Curley
67'
R. Maher🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Mols
72'
I. Duku
Normal Goal → B. Enoru
78'
E. Sousa🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Clayden
78'
Z. Brunt🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Norris
78'
B. Enoru🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Creaney
79'
I. Duku🔄
Substitution 5 → O. Lynch
90+6'
C. Reynolds🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Richardson
90+10'
L. Norris🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood
Form: W-W-W-L-D
Tamworth
Tamworth
Form: L-L-L-L-W
Record
7 W
2 D
1 L
4 W
2 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
2.0
Scored
vs
1.4
Scored
0.6
Conceded
vs
1.3
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:0.2
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.1
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:2.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1562
Average
1498
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1615
↑ Momentum (+53)
1482
↓ Momentum (-16)
Expected Outcome
41%
Home Win
31%
Draw
28%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1456
Attack
1462
1562
Defence
1477
Recent Form
1482
Attack
1437
1582
Defence
1458
Post-Match Changes
-17
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Boreham Wood Set to Continue Home Dominance
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.48
Expected Value:+11.0%

This National League clash presents a fascinating contrast in form and league position between high-flying Boreham Wood and struggling Tamworth. The hosts sit second in the table with 38 points from 18 games, showcasing their consistency throughout the season. Their recent form has been particularly impressive, with 7 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss from their last 10 matches, yielding an outstanding 2.30 points per game average. What makes Boreham Wood such a formidable proposition, especially at home, is their defensive solidity. They've conceded only 6 goals in their last 10 matches (0.60 per game) and kept 6 clean sheets during this period. Their home form is even more remarkable - they've won 80% of their last 5 home games while conceding just 0.20 goals per game on their own patch. Recent victories include a 3-1 triumph at Brackley Town, a 1-0 home win against Aldershot, and a convincing 3-0 FA Cup victory over Crawley Town. Tamworth, by contrast, find themselves in 11th place with 25 points and are currently experiencing a poor run of form. They've managed only 4 wins from their last 10 games (1.40 points per game) and have been particularly vulnerable defensively, conceding 13 goals in that period. The visitors are in a real slump, having lost 4 of their last 5 matches, including a 4-2 thrashing by Forest Green, a 0-1 home defeat to Woking, and a 1-3 loss against Boston United. The statistical disparity between these sides is stark. Boreham Wood average 2.00 goals scored per game while maintaining their defensive excellence, whereas Tamworth average 1.40 goals scored but concede 1.30 per game. The hosts also have the advantage of extra rest time (7 days vs 4 days for Tamworth) and will be looking to capitalize on their home fortress mentality. With no previous head-to-head record between these teams, we must rely purely on current form and statistical trends, all of which point decisively toward a home victory. **Key Points:** - Boreham Wood 2nd in league vs Tamworth 11th - 13-point gap - Hosts have 70% win rate in last 10 vs visitors' 40% - Boreham Wood concede just 0.20 goals per game at home - Tamworth have lost 4 of last 5 matches - Hosts have 6 clean sheets in last 10 games - Boreham Wood well-rested with 7 days vs Tamworth's 4 days **Summary:** The data overwhelmingly supports a Boreham Wood victory. Their exceptional home form, defensive record, and current league position make them clear favorites against a Tamworth side struggling for results. The odds of 1.48 offer good value for what appears to be a high-probability outcome, and I'm confident the hosts can secure all three points.

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