⚽️
Sweden5-1Tunisia
Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 17:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

11'
A. Hayden🟨
Yellow Card
54'
H. Macadam
Normal Goal
56'
L. N. John-Lewis
Normal Goal
60'
H. Macadam🟨
Yellow Card
67'
F. Maguire🟨
Yellow Card
73'
M. Carson🟨
Yellow Card
76'
C. Conn-Clarke🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Wearne
76'
J. Luamba🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Davies
81'
K. Aboh🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Waldock
81'
L. N. John-Lewis🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Hiwula
90'
H. Macadam
Normal Goal → J. Williams
90+5'
M. Lavinier🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
R. Linney🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Armstrong
90+6'
M. Lavinier🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Fogarty

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Boston United
Boston United
Form: D-L-L-W-L
Carlisle
Carlisle
Form: D-W-W-D-D
Record
2 W
3 D
5 L
6 W
3 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
2.1
Scored
2.0
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.6
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:2.2
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:2.5
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1468
Average
1552
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1467
↓ Momentum (-2)
1602
↑ Momentum (+50)
Expected Outcome
27%
Home Win
30%
Draw
43%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1438
Attack
1555
1507
Defence
1560
Recent Form
1402
Attack
1593
1497
Defence
1591
Post-Match Changes
-10
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Carlisle Set to Dominate Struggling Boston
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+8.6%

This National League clash presents a classic tale of two teams heading in opposite directions. Boston United sit precariously in 16th place with just 21 points, while Carlisle occupy third position with an impressive 40 points - nearly double Boston's tally. The form gap between these sides is staggering. Boston United have managed only 2 wins from their last 10 games, collecting a meager 0.90 points per game. Their home form is particularly alarming, with a 0% win rate in their last 5 home matches, scoring just 0.6 goals per game while conceding 2.2. Recent results include a 1-3 home defeat to Rochdale and a humiliating 0-4 loss to Morecambe. In stark contrast, Carlisle have been excellent, accumulating 2.10 points per game over their last 10 matches with 6 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss. Their away form remains solid with a 50% win rate on the road. They've recently beaten quality opposition like Southend (1-2 away), FC Halifax Town (2-0 at home), and Forest Green (4-2 at home). The head-to-head record tells a similar story - these teams met just last month in the FA Cup, with Carlisle running out 5-2 winners. Both teams found the net that day, but Carlisle's attacking superiority was clear for all to see. Boston's defensive frailties at home (2.2 goals conceded per game) combined with Carlisle's potent attack (2.1 goals scored per game overall) suggests the visitors should have plenty of joy going forward. While Boston did grab a decent 1-1 draw at Woking in their last outing, their overall home form makes it difficult to back them against a side of Carlisle's quality. The goal expectancy figures (Home 0.80, Away 1.85) further reinforce Carlisle's dominance in this matchup. With both teams showing 70% both teams to score rates in recent games, there's potential for goals, but Carlisle's superior quality should ultimately prevail. Key Points: • Boston United have 0% home win rate in last 5 games • Carlisle averaging 2.10 points per game vs Boston's 0.90 • Carlisle won 5-2 in the previous meeting this season • Boston conceding 2.2 goals per game at home • Carlisle have 50% away win rate in recent away matches Given the massive disparity in form, league position, and recent head-to-head results, Carlisle away win represents the most logical betting proposition here.

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