⚽️
Al Arabi1-0Al Thaid
Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 15:00
Full Time
2:1
HT: 1 - 1

Match Timeline

7'
M. Feeney🟨
Yellow Card
21'
T. Roberts🟨
Yellow Card
25'
G. Kelly⚽
Normal Goal
31'
K. Digie🟨
Yellow Card
39'
J. Ponticelli⚽
Normal Goal → R. Maher
46'
C. Cockerill-Mollett🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Curley
52'
B. Milnes
Missed Penalty → B. Milnes
64'
J. Luamba🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Ajiboye
71'
D. Creaney🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Lynch
71'
B. Milnes🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Tonks
75'
A. Gilliead🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Armstrong
79'
G. Kelly⚽
Normal Goal → R. Linney
83'
J. Rye🔄
Substitution 4 → H. Hollis
85'
D. Ajiboye🟨
Yellow Card
87'
T. Roberts🔄
Substitution 5 → I. Duku
90+1'
C. Conn-Clarke🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Ellis
90+4'
K. Donkor🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Carlisle
Carlisle
Form: W-D-W-W-D
Tamworth
Tamworth
Form: W-L-W-L-L
Record
7 W
3 D
0 L
•
5 W
0 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
2.3
Scored
vs
1.6
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
1.3
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:3.0
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:2.0

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Carlisle versus Tamworth: long term ELO, before the match
CarlisleHomeRatingTamworthAway
Strength
1,624.5Overall1,500.8
1,552.1Match venue1,459.1
1,552.1At home1,487.4
1,560.3Away1,459.1
Attack & defence
1,546.8Attack1,482.7
1,559.7Defence1,481.8
1,554.8Home attack1,462
1,498.9Away attack1,468.9
1,529.9Home defence1,529.6
1,540.4Away defence1,435.8
Match profile
1,526.7Goal environment1,620
1,530Home goals1,495
1,496.7Away goals1,625
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,565.6Close games1,526.9
1,642.1Winning margin1,490.3

Match venue compares Carlisle at home with Tamworth away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Carlisle vs Tamworth: BTTS Value in Goal-Fest
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+13.8%

This National League clash pits second-placed Carlisle against eleventh-placed Tamworth, and the data points toward an entertaining, goal-filled encounter at Carlisle's home ground. Carlisle have been absolutely relentless recently, remaining unbeaten in their last 10 matches with 7 wins and 3 draws. Their home form is particularly formidable - an 80% win rate coupled with an impressive 3.0 goals per game average on their own patch. Recent results showcase their attacking prowess, including a 4-2 demolition of Forest Green and a 5-2 thrashing of Boston United. However, they're not defensively solid, conceding in 80% of their recent games and averaging 1.1 goals against per game. Tamworth sit mid-table but have shown they can compete with the league's best. Their recent form is mixed (5W, 0D, 5L), but their away performances catch the eye - they've won 2 of their last 3 on the road, averaging 2.0 goals per game away from home. Most impressively, they secured a 2-1 victory at Boreham Wood's ground, proving they can trouble top-six opposition. Their recent results include both high-scoring wins (4-0 vs Burnley U21) and competitive losses against quality teams. The goal expectancy data projects 4.10 total goals for this match, which aligns perfectly with both teams' recent scoring patterns. Carlisle's home games average 3.0 goals for them, while Tamworth are finding the net regularly on their travels. With both teams to score hitting in 80% of Carlisle's recent matches and Tamworth averaging 2.0 away goals, the BTTS market looks particularly appealing. Carlisle's extra rest (7 days vs Tamworth's 4) could give them the edge in maintaining their high-intensity attacking approach, while Tamworth's away scoring record suggests they won't be mere spectators to Carlisle's goal-fest.

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