⚽️
Sweden2-1Tunisia
Tue, 3 Mar 2026, 19:45
Full Time
3:2
HT: 0 - 1

Match Timeline

6'
O. Pearce
Normal Goal → Z. Johnson
45+2'
J. Stones🟨
Yellow Card
45+4'
M. Williams🟨
Yellow Card
48'
L. Richardson
Normal Goal → Z. Brunt
53'
J. Grey🟨
Yellow Card
56'
F. Ilesanmi🟨
Yellow Card
61'
J. Stones🟨
Yellow Card
61'
J. Stones🟥
Red Card
66'
B. Brookes🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Fagan-Walcott
66'
A. Hunt🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Batty
66'
J. King🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Banks
71'
J. Grey🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Newby
75'
L. Richardson🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Ayinde
78'
C. Coxe
Normal Goal → Z. Brunt
82'
M. Marshall-Miranda🟨
Yellow Card
84'
F. Ilesanmi🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Newton
87'
C. O'Connell
Normal Goal → R. Booty
89'
O. Pearce🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Hewitt
90+2'
O. Banks
Normal Goal
90+4'
C. Coxe🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Z. Brunt🔄
Substitution 3 → T. White
90+5'
A. Abdulmalik🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Clayden

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood
Form: L-W-D-W-D
York
York
Form: W-W-W-W-W
Record
4 W
2 D
4 L
9 W
1 D
0 L
Goals Per Game
2.0
Scored
vs
2.7
Scored
1.9
Conceded
vs
0.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
60%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.4
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:2.4
Scored
Home:3.0
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:0.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1556
Average
1638
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1577
↑ Momentum (+21)
1716
↑ Momentum (+78)
Expected Outcome
27%
Home Win
30%
Draw
43%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1484
Attack
1653
1519
Defence
1627
Recent Form
1520
Attack
1719
1492
Defence
1657
Post-Match Changes
+17
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Title Clash Set for Goals as Top Two Collide
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.50
Expected Value:+12.5%
Confidence:75

The National League serves up a genuine six-pointer this weekend as league leaders Boreham Wood host second-placed York in what promises to be a thrilling encounter. With just one point separating these two juggernauts, the stakes couldn't be higher. The data tells a story of two exceptionally strong teams on a collision course, both boasting near-identical form lines of eight wins from their last ten outings. Boreham Wood's 2-0 victory over fourth-placed Carlisle and York's stunning 4-1 demolition of third-placed Rochdale highlight that both sides have the quality to beat the best. This isn't just a big game; it's a potential title decider in the making. Diving into the recent results, the attacking prowess on display is staggering. Boreham Wood has netted 28 times in their last ten, including a 4-0 away demolition of Wealdstone and a 3-0 win at Gateshead. Their only blemish was a 1-2 home defeat to Tamworth, but they've responded with a string of victories. York's form is arguably more explosive, racking up 33 goals in the same period. Their 5-1 thrashing of Aldershot Town and 4-2 win at Eastleigh showcase an attack that simply doesn't know when to stop. Crucially, both teams have shown they can score against quality opposition, not just the league's strugglers. The head-to-head history, however, throws up the most fascinating statistical quirk of all. In seven previous meetings, there has never been a winner. Every single encounter has ended in a draw, with the most recent a 2-2 thriller back in October. All seven of those matches also saw both teams find the net. While past results don't guarantee future outcomes, this pattern is too pronounced to ignore, especially when both teams arrive in such potent attacking form. Analysing the underlying numbers, York's 'Both Teams to Score' rate of 80% over their last ten games is a huge red flag for any Boreham Wood clean sheet hopes. The hosts do boast a solid 50% clean sheet rate themselves, but they've yet to face an attack as relentless as York's during this run. Boreham Wood concedes an average of 1.25 goals per game at home, while York scores 2.50 on their travels. The goal expectancies point towards a high-scoring affair, with a combined expected goal tally nearing four. With so much on the line, an open, end-to-end contest seems the most likely scenario. **Key Points:** * **Title Race Pressure:** First hosts second with just one point separating them, guaranteeing a high-intensity match. * **Remarkable H2H Record:** Seven previous meetings, seven draws, and both teams scoring in every single one. * **Attacking Firepower:** Boreham Wood averages 2.80 goals per game, York averages 3.30 goals per game over their last ten. * **Defensive Questions:** York's defence has kept only two clean sheets in ten (20%), while Boreham Wood concedes 1.25 per game at home. * **Form Guide:** Both teams have won eight of their last ten, demonstrating incredible consistency and confidence. **Summary & Betting Verdict:** This is a classic clash where the value bet shines through the data. While the match result is a coin flip, the evidence for goals at both ends is overwhelming. The historical precedent, combined with York's phenomenal BTTS record and Boreham Wood's reliable home scoring, makes 'Both Teams to Score - Yes' the standout selection. The odds of 1.50 offer solid value against a probability I assess as significantly higher. In a game of this magnitude, with two attack-minded teams, expecting both nets to ripple is the smart play.

Read Full Preview →