🟨
Renofa Yamaguchi0-2Sagamihara
Tue, 17 Feb 2026, 19:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

7'
O. Scott⚽
Normal Goal → S. Patton
26'
T. Works⚽
Normal Goal → L. McCormick
46'
D. Mafico🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Sims
50'
J. Wannell🟨
Yellow Card
56'
F. Cousin-Dawson🟨
Yellow Card
64'
S. Inwood🟨
Yellow Card
65'
J. Meerholz🟨
Yellow Card
66'
T. Perrett🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Mukena
67'
D. Skura🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Jones
74'
S. Patton⚽
Normal Goal
74'
J. Ward🟨
Yellow Card
75'
H. Greenslade🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Campbell
85'
J. Henry🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Penney
86'
F. Cousin-Dawson🔄
Substitution 5 → K. Ferguson

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Yeovil Town
Yeovil Town
Form: D-L-W-W-L
Aldershot Town
Aldershot Town
Form: D-W-W-W-L
Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
•
5 W
2 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
2.0
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:2.3
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:3.3
Away:0.7

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Yeovil Town versus Aldershot Town: long term ELO, before the match
Yeovil TownHomeRatingAldershot TownAway
Strength
1,452.3Overall1,493.2
1,466Match venue1,446.1
1,466At home1,514.8
1,430.3Away1,446.1
Attack & defence
1,406.7Attack1,542.3
1,530.3Defence1,453.6
1,406.6Home attack1,562.3
1,396.4Away attack1,496.4
1,529.3Home defence1,446.4
1,539.3Away defence1,461.8
Match profile
1,428.3Goal environment1,971.7
1,430Home goals1,733.3
1,498.3Away goals1,738.3
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,452.2Close games1,470.6
1,449.5Winning margin1,507.8

Match venue compares Yeovil Town at home with Aldershot Town away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Goals Galore Expected as Volatile Aldershot Visit Solid Yeovil
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.57
Expected Value:+9.9%
Confidence:70

Two National League sides with contrasting styles clash at Huish Park as 15th-placed Yeovil Town host 17th-placed Aldershot Town. With just five points separating the teams but identical goal differences of -9, this mid-table battle promises intrigue. The data reveals a fascinating matchup between Yeovil's defensive resilience and Aldershot's chaotic, high-scoring encounters. Yeovil Town arrive with a patchy recent record of three wins, four draws, and three losses from their last ten outings. Their 1-0 defeat to struggling Truro City on December 26th was concerning, but they responded with a solid 3-1 victory over Braintree and a credible 1-1 draw with Eastleigh. More impressively, they secured a 2-0 away win at ninth-placed Hartlepool in early December. The Glovers' defining characteristic is defensive solidity, conceding just nine goals in those ten matches—an average of 0.9 per game—and keeping three clean sheets. At home, they score a respectable 1.17 goals per game while conceding exactly one. Aldershot Town present a completely different profile. Their last ten games have been a rollercoaster, featuring five wins, one draw, and four losses, but the story is in the scorelines. They've been involved in several goal-fests: a 4-1 demolition of Eastleigh just days ago, a 4-1 home win over Wealdstone, but also heavy 5-1 losses to Solihull Moors and York. In total, they've scored 18 and conceded a whopping 21 in this period. Crucially, both teams have scored in 80% of these matches. On the road, they average 1.6 goals scored but also concede 1.6 per game. The head-to-head history slightly favors the visitors. Aldershot have won four of the nine meetings, with Yeovil winning just two. At Huish Park, Yeovil's record is particularly poor, with just one win in five attempts (20% win rate). Their most recent encounter in May 2025 ended in a 2-1 victory for Aldershot. From a betting perspective, the match result markets are too tight to call, with both teams priced around 2.50-2.55. The value lies in the goals markets. Aldershot's games are consistently eventful—they've seen three or more goals in 70% of their last ten fixtures. Yeovil, while generally tighter, have shown they can contribute to the scoreboard at home. The standout statistical trend is Aldershot's remarkable 'Both Teams to Score' record. With it landing in eight of their last ten, and given Yeovil's ability to find the net at home (scoring in seven of their last ten overall), this looks a prime candidate. The odds of 1.57 imply a 63.7% probability, but my analysis suggests the true likelihood is closer to 70%, offering clear positive expected value. **Key Points:** - Aldershot's last 10 games: 80% Both Teams to Score rate - Yeovil average 1.17 goals per game at home - Aldershot concede 2.1 goals per game on average recently - Head-to-head: Aldershot lead 4-2-3 (W-D-L) - Yeovil's home record vs Aldershot: Just 1 win in 5 attempts - Recent form: Aldershot (1.60 PPG) slightly better than Yeovil (1.30 PPG) **Summary:** While a close match is anticipated, the data overwhelmingly points towards goals at both ends. Aldershot's defensive vulnerabilities (21 goals conceded in 10 games) combined with their attacking threat (18 scored) make 'Both Teams to Score' the standout betting angle. At odds of 1.57, this represents genuine value for a market that should land approximately 7 times in 10 based on current trajectories.

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