Wealdstone welcome Brackley Town on Tuesday night in a crucial National League relegation six-pointer, with both sides locked level on 36 points and desperate to pull away from the drop zone. While the hosts hold home advantage, the data points firmly towards the visitors continuing their historical dominance in this fixture. Wealdstone's recent form makes for grim reading. The Stones have managed just one win in their last five league outings, culminating in a demoralising 3-0 defeat at struggling Sutton United last Saturday. That loss followed a goalless draw against Hartlepool and a 3-0 home drubbing by high-flying York, exposing a side that has forgotten how to find the net. Over their last ten matches, Wealdstone are averaging a paltry 0.80 goals per game while conceding 1.50, with their attacking output declining steadily. Their home record, while showing a 50% win rate over the last four, masks a concerning underlying issue: they're scoring just 0.50 goals per game on their own turf, relying on defensive solidity to grind out results. Brackley Town arrive with marginally better momentum, picking up 1.30 points per game across their last ten compared to Wealdstone's 1.10. The visitors have shown resilience on the road, winning 33% of their last six away fixtures and netting an impressive 1.67 goals per game in the process. While their defensive record away from home leaks at two goals per game, their ability to find the net consistently gives them a crucial edge. Brackley have also proven adept at avoiding defeat recently, drawing four of their last ten, including credible stalemates against playoff-chasing Halifax Town and Sutton United. The head-to-head record heavily favours the visitors. Brackley have won three of the four meetings between these sides, including both previous visits to Wealdstone's ground. The most recent encounter in October 2025 saw Brackley cruise to a 2-0 victory, and with Wealdstone yet to register a home win against Tuesday's opponents, the psychological advantage sits firmly with the away side. Key Points: • Wealdstone have scored just 0.50 goals per game in their last four home matches • Brackley Town have won both previous away fixtures at Wealdstone (100% record) • The visitors are averaging 1.67 goals per game in their last six away trips • Wealdstone have lost three of their last five league games, including a 3-0 defeat to bottom-half Sutton United • Brackley have taken four points from their last two away games (W1 D1) Summary: Given Wealdstone's alarming lack of firepower at home and Brackley's historical stranglehold on this fixture, the 3.25 available on an away win represents excellent value. The hosts' recent 3-0 capitulation to a struggling Sutton side raises serious questions about their confidence levels, while Brackley's superior away attacking metrics and unbeaten record at this venue make them the clear selection.