⚽️
Spokane Velocity3-1Portland Hearts of Pine
Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 15:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

23'
T. Cursons🟨
Yellow Card
59'
J. Hiwula🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Aboh
63'
D. Rodney🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Smith
68'
M. Lavinier🟨
Yellow Card
72'
J. Grimes🟨
Yellow Card
80'
K. Gordon🟨
Yellow Card
80'
A. Barlow🔄
Substitution 2 → I. Henderson
82'
T. Smith⚽
Normal Goal → D. Moss
88'
C. Teale🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Barrington
88'
O. Gallagher🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Sloggett
89'
T. Allarakhia🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Tutonda
90'
R. East🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Francis

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Rochdale
Rochdale
Form: W-W-D-W-D
Boston United
Boston United
Form: D-W-D-W-W
Record
7 W
3 D
0 L
•
5 W
3 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
2.1
Scored
vs
2.0
Scored
0.9
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.3
Away:1.7
Conceded
Home:0.9
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:3.0
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:2.0

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Rochdale versus Boston United: long term ELO, before the match
RochdaleHomeRatingBoston UnitedAway
Strength
1,715.9Overall1,507.5
1,652.7Match venue1,520.2
1,652.7At home1,451.6
1,606.5Away1,520.2
Attack & defence
1,583.4Attack1,481.3
1,653Defence1,499.3
1,596.4Home attack1,426.6
1,515Away attack1,522.2
1,623.5Home defence1,505.6
1,620.9Away defence1,493.1
Match profile
1,580Goal environment1,540
1,568.3Home goals1,501.7
1,511.7Away goals1,538.3
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,608.2Close games1,496.2
1,745.6Winning margin1,512.8

Match venue compares Rochdale at home with Boston United away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Goals Galore Expected as League Leaders Host Travelling Goalscorers
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+20.3%

Rochdale enter this National League clash sitting proudly at the summit of the table with 85 points from 35 games, boasting a formidable record of 27 wins, 4 draws, and just 4 defeats. Their recent form has been nothing short of sensational, remaining unbeaten across their last ten fixtures with seven victories and three draws, accumulating 2.4 points per game while netting 21 goals. The league leaders have been particularly dominant on home soil, winning 85.71% of their last seven home matches and averaging 2.29 goals scored while conceding a miserly 0.86 per game. However, they face a Boston United side that defies their mid-table position when playing away from home. The visitors sit 11th with 44 points, yet their recent away form is remarkable – winning 75% of their last four road trips and averaging an astonishing 3.00 goals per game away from home. Their recent results include a stunning 6-3 victory at promotion-chasing Scunthorpe and a 3-2 win at Forest Green, demonstrating their ability to find the net against quality opposition. While their overall trend shows declining performance metrics, their attacking output on the road remains potent with 20 goals scored in their last ten games overall. The head-to-head record presents an intriguing anomaly. While Rochdale hold a 3-1-1 advantage overall, they have failed to win either of their home meetings against Boston United (0-1-1 record), with their three victories coming on the road. The last encounter in November 2025 saw Rochdale triumph 3-1, and historically these fixtures have been high-scoring affairs with four of the five meetings exceeding 2.5 goals. Key Points: - Rochdale are unbeaten in 10 games (7 wins, 3 draws) and have won 85.71% of recent home fixtures - Boston United have won 75% of their last 4 away games, scoring 3.00 goals per game on the road - Four of the last five head-to-head meetings have produced Over 2.5 goals - Both teams have a 70% Both Teams to Score rate in their last 10 games - Goal expectancies suggest 4.07 total goals (Home 2.14, Away 1.93) Summary: Despite Rochdale's tight home defence conceding just 0.86 goals per game, Boston United's explosive away attacking record (3.00 goals per game) and the historical high-scoring nature of this fixture suggest goals are on the menu. With the visitors finding the net in 9 of their last 10 games and Rochdale scoring in all of their last 10, the Over 2.5 Goals market at 1.85 offers excellent value. The goal expectancy models project over 4 goals in total, making the 2.5 line look vulnerable.

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