York welcome Eastleigh on Saturday as the promotion chasers look to bounce back from their first defeat in ten games. York sit second in the National League with 83 points from 36 games, just two points behind leaders Rochdale with a game in hand. The hosts have been in sensational form, winning nine of their last ten fixtures and averaging 2.8 goals per game during this run. Their home record is particularly imposing – 100% wins in their last four at home, scoring 3.5 goals per game. However, astute bettors will note they suffered a rare setback on Tuesday, losing 3-2 away to fourth-placed Boreham Wood despite having won their previous nine straight including impressive victories over Carlisle (3-0), Scunthorpe (3-0) and Forest Green (2-1). Eastleigh arrive in 19th place, level on 39 points with three other teams and fighting to avoid the drop. Eastleigh have won just two of their last ten, conceding 2.6 goals per game and failing to keep a single clean sheet during this period. Yet they remain dangerous going forward, scoring in nine of their last ten matches and netting against promotion contenders Carlisle, Boreham Wood and Solihull Moors recently. The head-to-head record raises eyebrows. Despite York's current dominance, Eastleigh actually hold the overall advantage with four wins to York's three in nine meetings. More significantly, York have struggled at home against Saturday's visitors, winning just one of four home encounters (25% win rate) and losing twice. **Key Points:** - York have scored in all of their last ten games, averaging 3.5 goals per game in their last four home matches - Eastleigh have found the net in nine of their last ten outings, including away days at Solihull Moors (3-2 win) and Boreham Wood (2-2 draw) - York kept six clean sheets in their last ten games, but conceded in three of their last four home matches - Eastleigh have failed to record a clean sheet in their last ten games, conceding 3.0 goals per game in their last four away trips - The last meeting between these sides finished 4-2 to York **Summary:** While York at 1.17 looks a banker on paper, the odds offer no value and their patchy home record against Eastleigh gives pause. Instead, Both Teams to Score at 1.91 appeals. Eastleigh's desperate need for points should see them attack, and with York conceding in 75% of recent home games while scoring freely, both nets should bulge. The 1.91 price offers solid value against a true probability closer to 60%.