🟨
Xi'an Ronghai2-1Tai'an Tiankuang
Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 15:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

2'
D. Cameron🟨
Yellow Card
20'
C. Teale🟨
Yellow Card
23'
J. Richards🟨
Yellow Card
24'
L. Armstrong
Normal Goal
37'
J. Hiwula
Normal Goal → F. Maguire
40'
F. Maguire
Normal Goal → L. Barrington
45+3'
R. Galvin🟨
Yellow Card
46'
J. Rooney🟨
Yellow Card
52'
J. Rooney🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Sloggett
61'
F. Maguire🟥
Red Card
62'
R. Linney
Penalty
68'
T. Cursons🔄
Substitution 2 → L. N. John-Lewis
68'
L. Barrington🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Lavinier
68'
J. Hiwula🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Lankshear
72'
A. Lankshear
Own Goal
74'
G. Sloggett🟨
Yellow Card
80'
M. Feeney🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Thomas
82'
D. Ajiboye
Normal Goal → L. Armstrong
86'
R. Galvin🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Harper
86'
H. Atkinson🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Ellis
89'
D. Ajiboye
Normal Goal → J. Ellis
90+1'
S. Wearne🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Whelan
90+1'
L. Armstrong🔄
Substitution 5 → H. Parker
90+8'
B. Mugabi
Normal Goal → R. Linney

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Carlisle
Carlisle
Form: L-W-D-W-L
Boston United
Boston United
Form: W-L-D-W-D
Record
6 W
1 D
3 L
6 W
2 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
2.0
Scored
vs
1.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.8
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.3
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:2.8
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1579
Average
1463
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1645
↑ Momentum (+66)
1465
↑ Momentum (+2)
Expected Outcome
47%
Home Win
29%
Draw
24%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1576
Attack
1436
1549
Defence
1508
Recent Form
1620
Attack
1416
1556
Defence
1514
Post-Match Changes
+10
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Carlisle vs Boston United: National League Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+38.8%
Confidence:75

The National League fixture between Carlisle and Boston United promises a high-scoring encounter based on the provided team statistics and head-to-head history. Carlisle sits comfortably in 3rd place with 75 points, while Boston United occupies 13th with 47 points, indicating a clear disparity in league standing. Carlisle's home performance is a key indicator for this match. In their last four home games, Carlisle has maintained a 75% win rate, averaging 2.75 goals scored per game. Conversely, Boston United has shown remarkable away form, also boasting a 75% win rate in their last four away games, with an average of 2.75 goals scored per game. When combining these offensive outputs, the expected goal environment is significantly high. Head-to-head records strongly favor Carlisle, who has won both previous meetings with scorelines of 2-1 and 5-2. The average goals per H2H match is 5.00, and both previous games saw Over 2.5 Goals. The provided goal expectancy data suggests a total of 4.13 expected goals (Home 2.25, Away 1.88), which statistically favors the Over 2.5 market. Boston United's recent away form includes high-scoring victories, such as a 6-3 win against Scunthorpe and a 3-2 win against Forest Green. Carlisle's recent results also show a tendency for goals, having scored 20 goals in their last 10 games while conceding 12. The market odds for Over 2.5 Goals sit at 1.85, implying a probability of roughly 54%. Given the H2H trend and the team's scoring averages, the actual probability of seeing over 2.5 goals appears significantly higher, offering value. While Carlisle's goal scoring trend is noted as 'Declining' in the performance trends section, the raw data regarding home and away goals per game remains robust. With both teams averaging 2.75 goals per game in their respective venues, the case for goals is compelling. The betting market's fair probability for Over 2.5 is listed at 51.32%, yet the mathematical goal expectancy of 4.13 suggests a much higher likelihood of the Over hitting. This discrepancy creates a betting edge. In summary, the combination of strong home offense for Carlisle, potent away scoring for Boston, and a history of high-scoring head-to-head matches points clearly towards the Over 2.5 Goals market.

Read Full Preview →