⚽️
Daejeon Citizen2-1Jeonbuk Motors
Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 15:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

16'
C. Bell🟨
Yellow Card
35'
W. Dean⚽
Normal Goal
45'
J. Francis🟨
Yellow Card
46'
F. Issaka🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Law
49'
J. Stretton⚽
Normal Goal → L. Jephcott
53'
O. Foyo🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Simper
53'
J. Francis🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Ogbonna
62'
J. J. Harris🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Eze
70'
K. Wilson🔄
Substitution 2 → Z. Bell
73'
K. Donkor🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Urpens
73'
B. Njoku🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Rodari
78'
L. Jephcott🟨
Yellow Card
80'
J. Stretton🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Janneh
84'
L. Jephcott
Penalty

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Sutton Utd
Sutton Utd
Form: D-W-L-W-D
Truro City
Truro City
Form: L-L-L-D-L
Record
4 W
2 D
4 L
•
0 W
1 D
9 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
0.6
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
1.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:1.3
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:0.4
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:1.6

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Sutton Utd versus Truro City: long term ELO, before the match
Sutton UtdHomeRatingTruro CityAway
Strength
1,474.7Overall1,340.5
1,496.4Match venue1,397.4
1,496.4At home1,424.9
1,487Away1,397.4
Attack & defence
1,475Attack1,390.7
1,493Defence1,443.1
1,482.9Home attack1,451.8
1,477.5Away attack1,400.8
1,505.9Home defence1,487.5
1,513.6Away defence1,440.4
Match profile
1,618.3Goal environment1,523.3
1,638.3Home goals1,508.3
1,480Away goals1,515
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,473.7Close games1,410.6
1,464.7Winning margin1,321.6

Match venue compares Sutton Utd at home with Truro City away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Sutton Utd vs Truro City Betting Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+19.0%
Confidence:70

Sutton Utd and Truro City meet in the National League, with the home side looking to extend their lead in the table against a relegation-battling opponent. The form guide heavily favors Sutton, who sit 15th with 43 points, while Truro City languish at the bottom of the table in 24th place with just 25 points. Truro City are in a severe slump. They have failed to win any of their last 10 games, managing only one draw and nine defeats. Their attacking output is particularly concerning, averaging just 0.60 goals per game over that period, and their defensive record is equally bleak with zero clean sheets in the last 10 matches. On the road, Truro's away form is equally dire, with a 0% win rate in their last 5 away fixtures. In contrast, Sutton Utd have shown more resilience. In their last 10 games, they have secured 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, averaging 1.40 goals scored per game. Their home form over the last 4 home games shows a 50% win rate, conceding 1.75 goals per game. Crucially, Sutton have a perfect head-to-head record against Truro, winning both previous meetings (3-2 and 1-0). Statistically, the goal expectancy suggests a combined total of roughly 2.5 goals (Home 1.43, Away 1.07). While this points towards an Over 2.5 Goals outcome, Truro's abysmal scoring record (0.40 away goals/game) makes relying on them to score for a BTTS or Over bet risky. The most reliable value lies in the match result. Given Truro's winless run and Sutton's H2H dominance, a Sutton victory is the most probable outcome. The odds for a Sutton Utd win are 1.70. Based on Truro's inability to secure a win in 10 consecutive games and their bottom-table position, the probability of Sutton winning is estimated at 70%. This creates a clear edge over the bookmaker's implied probability of 58.8%.

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