The National League continues this Tuesday, March 25th, as Tamworth hosts Forest Green. This fixture promises an open contest based on the historical data and current form. Both teams have shown a propensity for goals, making this an intriguing match for bettors looking for value. Tamworth enters the match from 12th place in the standings with 48 points from 39 games. Their home performance has been mixed but potent offensively. Over their last 5 home games, Tamworth has secured a 60% win rate, averaging 2.40 goals scored per game while conceding 1.60. Their overall recent form (last 10 games) shows 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per game. Notably, their last match was a 3-2 defeat to Rochdale, confirming their high-scoring nature. Forest Green sits higher in the table at 6th place with 68 points. However, their away form is weaker, with only a 20% win rate over the last 5 away games. They average 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded away from home. Their recent results include a 2-0 win against Wealdstone and a 0-2 loss to Southend. Despite the lower scoring rate away, the head-to-head record suggests a different narrative. The head-to-head record between these two sides is particularly telling. In 7 total matches, 6 have seen Over 2.5 Goals. The last meeting in November 2025 ended 4-2 in favor of Forest Green. The average goals per game in H2H is high, with an average of 1.43 scored and 1.86 conceded per team. This historical trend is a strong signal for goals. Goal expectancies calculated from the data suggest a combined total of approximately 3.20 goals (Tamworth Home λ 1.90 + Forest Green Away λ 1.30). The market odds for Over 2.5 Goals are 1.62. Given the 6/7 H2H trend and the goal expectancy, the probability of this outcome appears to exceed the bookmakers' implied probability. This creates a positive expected value scenario. Key Points: - Tamworth averages 2.40 goals per game at home. - Forest Green averages 1.40 goals conceded away. - 6 of the last 7 H2H matches saw Over 2.5 Goals. - Combined goal expectancy is 3.20. - Recent form shows both teams involved in high-scoring games. The data strongly points to a match with multiple goals. The combination of Tamworth's home scoring rate and the historical H2H trend makes the goals market the most compelling angle. We are confident in this selection based on the statistical evidence provided. **Chosen Bet:** Over 2.5 Goals