🟨
Colombia1-0Congo DR
Sat, 28 Mar 2026, 15:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

10'
J. Sbarra
Normal Goal
54'
E. Sonupe🟨
Yellow Card
58'
S. Reed🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Golden
60'
T. Sho-Silva🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Wilkinson
69'
J. Osborne🔄
Substitution 2 → C. McFarlane
69'
L. Weaver🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Kirk
70'
K. Reddin🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Kosylo
77'
J. Sbarra🟨
Yellow Card
77'
M. Kosylo🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
I. Moore🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
T. Crawford🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
D. Sassi🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Barnes

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Solihull Moors
Solihull Moors
Form: D-L-D-L-L
Altrincham
Altrincham
Form: D-W-L-W-W
Record
0 W
4 D
6 L
5 W
2 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
2.4
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:2.8
Away:2.0
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:0.5
Away:2.3

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1448
Average
1552
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1393
↓ Momentum (-54)
1572
↑ Momentum (+20)
Expected Outcome
25%
Home Win
29%
Draw
46%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1515
Attack
1498
1465
Defence
1512
Recent Form
1509
Attack
1480
1422
Defence
1523
Post-Match Changes
+12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Solihull Moors vs Altrincham: National League Preview & Bet
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.50
Expected Value:+127.5%
Confidence:65

The National League clash between Solihull Moors and Altrincham promises a fascinating encounter, though the data suggests a clear mismatch in current form. Solihull Moors are in a severe slump, failing to win any of their last 10 games. Their home form is particularly concerning, with zero wins in their last five home fixtures. They have conceded heavily at home, averaging 2.80 goals conceded per game on their own turf, while managing only 1.20 goals scored. This defensive frailty is a significant concern. Altrincham presents a stark contrast. They have won 5 of their last 10 games, averaging 1.70 points per game compared to Solihull's 0.40. While their away form shows a 25% win rate in the last four away games, their overall momentum is positive. Altrincham averages 1.50 goals scored per game away from home, which aligns well with Solihull's porous home defense. Historically, Altrincham holds the advantage in head-to-head meetings, winning 4 of the last 9 encounters compared to Solihull's 1 win. The last meeting ended 0-2 in favor of Altrincham. Statistically, the goal expectancy is high for this fixture, with a combined expected goal total of 3.88, suggesting a high-scoring affair is likely. Regarding betting markets, the odds for an Altrincham away win are set at 3.50. Given Solihull's winless run and Altrincham's superior recent form, the market price implies a win probability of roughly 28.6%. However, considering Solihull's 0% home win rate in recent matches and Altrincham's 50% overall win rate in their last 10 games, the true probability of an Altrincham victory appears significantly higher than the odds suggest. This discrepancy offers compelling value. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.57. While the goal expectancy (3.88) supports this outcome, the odds are tight against the fair probability of 60%, offering little to no value. Similarly, Both Teams to Score - Yes is priced at 1.53, which also lacks positive expected value based on the provided fair probabilities. Therefore, the most logical selection is an Altrincham Away Win. The combination of Solihull's inability to secure victories and Altrincham's stronger attacking output creates a favorable edge for the visitors.

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